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Thread: 美元/日元再次反弹

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    Default 美元/日元再次反弹

    日元上周受全球股市下跌打压全面向上修正,美元/日元跌破了自今年3月份以来的上行趋势线。我们在上周的分析中指出,日元交叉盘回落可能只是一种修正,事实证明的确如此。本周欧美股市继续下跌,但日元交叉盘却开始相继持稳,这表明风险厌恶情绪对于日元的支持正在减弱。与去年7月份套息交易达到空前盛况,日元净空头创下历史记录相比,目前市场上的日元净空头并不是太多,因此,其对日元上扬的反应远不能与以前相比。上周五imm公布的数据显示,日元净头寸刚刚由净多头转为净空头,为12747份,这也是去年11月份以来首次录得净空。日本经济放缓尽管不是市场关注的焦点,但对日元也是一个隐忧。周一日本央行公布的第二季度短观报告显示,大型制造业判断指数跌至了5年低点。国内经济全面疲软。鉴于上周公布的通胀数据上升,这使得日本经济有陷入滞胀的危险。低利率是日元的一大劣势,就利率前景来看,日元同样不占上风。目前日本央行采取的是一种中性立场,而随著本周欧央行可能加息,其它央行似乎有从中性转为强硬的可能。风险厌恶情绪对日元的支持减弱,而日元又难以得到来自国内基本面的支持,因此,其走势很可能继续受制于外部因素,包括美元的整体走势以及套息交易需求。

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    Default

    今天美日怎么做啊

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