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Thread: 英国制造业采购经理人指数跌至6年半低点

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    Default 英国制造业采购经理人指数跌至6年半低点

    英国6月制造业采购经理人指数跌至45.8,5月数据自50.0下行修正至49.5,显示制造业连续两个月收缩。总产出和新订单指数分别录得43.5和43.2,国内需求尤其疲弱。输入物价指数升至82.1,输出物价升至62.9,均录得1998年以来最高。数据显示不仅制造业濒临急剧下滑,通胀压力逐渐增加,制造商利润空间不断压缩,若通胀继续上扬,制造商将不得不将成本转嫁至消费者头上,届时将给通胀更大压力。英央行已经警告如果商品价格继续上涨,CPI可能升至4%上方。日内公布的6月Nationwide房价指数接近预期但仍显示进一步下滑。昨日英央行抵押许可和抵押贷款跌至99年来最低水平,抵押活动未来可能进一步下滑,将使房价继续承压。市场的焦点在7月10日的英央行利率决议,尽管房价持续下滑,消费者信心低迷,但日渐增加的通胀压力可能使英央行更倾向维持利率不变,英镑的走势将很大程度取决于央行态度和官员讲话。近期英镑上扬主要由美元疲弱带动,而非对基本面因素的真实反应,从长期来看英镑仍面临较大的下行风险。目前英镑/美元已经升至2.0000上方,在英国方面缺乏重大风险事件的情况下,美国数据的好坏和美元指数的走势将成为决定汇价能否在2.0000上方持稳的主导因素。

  2. #2
    wu2080
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    英磅要跌吗,跌到什么价位呢?

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