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Thread: 欧元/美元继续酝酿突破

  1. #1
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    Default 欧元/美元继续酝酿突破

    欧央行官员Trichet,Noyer和Wellink今天再次表示欧元区通胀升温,必须控制好未来预期,早先欧央行理事斯塔克在谈到通胀对潜在的经济增长的不利影响时称,欧央行必须重估当前的利率水平。在近期欧央行官员纷纷发表强硬讲话後,欧央行7月份加息似乎已成定局。市场目前已经完全消化7月份加息的影响,并猜测更多加息的可能。但特里谢随後的讲话似乎为这一问题给出了答案,他称他没有说过欧央行将进行一系列的加息。从近期公布的数据来看,欧里谢作出这样的暗示似乎无并道理。作为欧元区最大的两个经济体,法国及德国6月制造业及服务业采购经理人指数纷纷下跌,前者甚至跌破50的盛衰分界线,整个欧元区6月RBS/NTC采购经理人指数也跌破了50水平。德国6月IFO商业景气指数自5月的103.5跌至101.3,显示不断上涨的油价及欧央行加息的预期给德国经济蒙上了阴影。因此,即使欧央行在7月份会议上加息,经济放缓的前景导致欧央行连续加息的预期减弱,欧元得到的支持很可能也是短暂的。

  2. #2
    wu2080
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    Default

    狗娘养的,eu涨得也在多了

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