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Thread: 远东商行:6月25日外汇买卖策略(做多)

  1. #1
    wu2080
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    Default 远东商行:6月25日外汇买卖策略(做多)

    方向 进场 获利 止损

    美/日 买 107.50 108.00 107.00

    欧/美 卖 1.5580 1.5500 1.5650

    英/美 卖 1.9710 1.9600 1.9780

    美/瑞 买 1.0400 1.0480 1.0330

    澳/美 卖 0.9570 0.9520 0.9620

    美/加 买 1.0120 1.0180 1.0050

  2. #2
    wu2080
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    第二季日本景气判断指标(BSI)降至四年低位,引发市场臆测7月1日公佈的日本季度短观数据将大幅下滑,另传闻日本投资人正在用夏季奖金购买收益更高的海外资产使日圆承压,且法国强劲的数据强化欧洲央行(ECB)下週升息的预期,风险偏好提高推升欧元兑日圆触及168.40近11个月来的新高,带动美元兑日圆升至108.21高点。昨晚标准普尔/Case-Shiller公佈美国4月房价指数较去年同期跌幅达创纪录的15.3%,另5月消费者信心指数降至50.4远低于预估值,并为1992年2月以来最低,疲软的数据令美国联邦准备理事会(FED)今年升息的前景蒙上阴影,打击美元兑日圆跌至107.37低点。今日市场焦点在美国公开市场委员会(FOMC)的会议结果,一般预期将维持利率于2.0%不变,但观察FED的会后声明以寻找未来利率走势的线索。预估今日美元兑日圆压力于107.80-108.00,支撑于107.20-50。

  3. #3
    wu2080
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    昨日德国公佈7月gfk消费者信心指数持续下滑至3.9,但法国5月消费者支出意外大幅上扬2.0%,为近四年半以来最大月度增幅,且6月企业信心指数升至102.0优于预期,缓解了週一疲软的欧元区採购经理人指数(pmi)及德国ifo数据引发投资人对欧元区经济前景的忧虑,支撑欧元兑美元自1.5493低点反弹。晚间美国公佈疲软的消费者信心指数及持续走低的房价指数,令市场质疑fed今年升息的可能性,打击美元走势,使欧元兑美元扩大涨势至1.5621高点。预估今日欧元兑美元压力于1.5580-1.5600,支撑于1.5500-20。

  4. #4
    wu2080
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    虽然昨日英国Resolution公佈计划将整合一些英国小型银行,其中包括陷入困境的Bradford & Bingley,鼓舞投资者恢復对金融市场的信心,但英国银行业者协会(BBA)公佈英国5月房屋抵押贷款批准数量较去年同期大幅萎缩56.1%至27,968的纪录低位,冲击英镑兑美元跌至1.9627低点。不过数据显示美国消费者信心跌至近16年来新低使美元卖压沉重,外部因素提振英镑兑美元回升至1.9724高点。市场关注FED今晚的利率决议及政策声明,预估今日英镑兑美元压力于1.9700-20,支撑于1.9600-30。

  5. #5
    Elder Analyst
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    总感觉这个数据并不是很好,参考过,没有盈利,不知道什么原因?

  6. #6
    In Profit Jevons Ray's Avatar
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    远东商行?没听说过呢,

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