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Thread: 美元/加元何去何从

  1. #1
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    Default 美元/加元何去何从

     加拿大4月零售销售3月中首次增加。因为消费者增加在服装、家具和电子产品等方面的支出,加上价格飙升促进了汽油销售,4月零售销售季调后月率增加0.6%,达到356.3亿加元。年率则上升4.2%。八个行业中,有六个增加。除去新车及其零件销售的零售销售增加了近两倍,增幅达到1.1%,为276.2亿加元。经济学家此前的预测值为整体零售销售增加0.6%,除去汽车的核心零售销售增加0.7%。加拿大零售销售上次增加是在1月,过去七个月中有五个月增加。扣除美元/加元汇率变动的因素,加拿大零售销售增加了0.5%,是七个月中第五次上升。具体到零售销售的各个行业,汽油销售增加1.9%,到44.7亿加元;汽车销售下降 0.2%,到124.7亿加元,为七个月中第二次下降。具体到零售销售的区域,魁北克强劲反弹3.4%。如果将地区销售排除在外,那么零售销售可能小幅下降。另外,西部省份的销售减少,主要受到车辆销售下降的拖累。亚伯达销售减少1.8%,是去年10月以来最低水平。加拿大央行行长卡尼在卡尔加里发表演讲后接受媒体采访时表示,若能源价恪守在当前的高位不退,加拿大通胀将面临更大的上升风险。在被问及加拿大央行6月10日为何会在市场几乎一致认为央行将降息的情况下保持利率不变时,卡尼表示,市场预期和央行利率决定之间并不是"完美一致的"。他还指出,尽管加拿大制造业表现的相当疲软,但加拿大整体经济表现依然稳健。他强调,货币政策的制定将以国内情况为基础,加拿大当前的货币政策具有适应性。卡尼最后表示,加元走强将进一步帮助加拿大抵御通胀风险,但4-6月份的通胀风险已转为上升。
    (和讯财经原创)

      美元/加元在周线中仍然处在一个大平台整理当中,可见这种耗时半年所形成的平台对人们的心理本身就产生了巨大的压力,因此前两周并未对平台的上沿产生过什么危险,但是在日线中,美元/加元突破了60均线,并在上周五对汇率产生了一定支撑作用,本周主要是看这种支撑作用是否能够延续,对美元/加元的上升起到推动的作用,如果日线的中长期均线对汇价产生有效的支撑,并帮组其顺利突破长期形成的平台上沿,则其必将展开一波中长期的上升趋势,如果这种支撑不能够延续而遭到破坏,则美元/加元又将重新回到大平台整理当中。本周的关键阻力1.0320,支撑1.0000。

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    Default

    加元是要涨的!

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