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Thread: 外汇早评:06月20日货币分析与预测

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    Default 外汇早评:06月20日货币分析与预测

    2008年06月20日


    欧元/美元:周四美元受益于油价回落影响有所上涨,欧元反弹受阻承压下跌,跌至前期低位平台小幅反弹.今早,汇价小幅上涨.在淘金指3小时图中,最新出现一个向下三角形信号,反映汇价上行至1.56附近遇到较大阻力,并有回落整理的需求,目前汇价再次回试1.55一线,短线主趋势向上,后市如能站稳于1.55位,预计欧元今天震荡走高回试上档阻力的机会较大.


    操作建议:配合淘金指信号


    (1)考虑汇价有效突破1.55位,可考虑短线做多,止损于1.5570,目标1.5630/1.5660.


    (2)汇价反弹至1.56受阻迹象,可考虑短线少量做沽,止损于1.5630附近,目标1.5570/1.5540.






    英镑/美元:昨天英镑收益于零售数据好于预期影响,大幅攀升并收复之前跌幅,尾盘受阻小幅回调.今早,汇价小幅下跌.淘金指3小时图中,最新出现向上手指加向下三角形信号,反映汇价于前期低位遇到较强支撑后,整天走势已有所趋强,目前汇价大幅反弹至1.97之上运行,进一步上行暂时受阻于1.9750附近,预计今天英镑再次震荡走升的机会较大.


    操作建议:配合淘金指信号


    (1)考虑汇价站稳于1.97位,可考虑短线作多,止损控制于1.9670附近,目标看向1.9730/1.9760.


    (2)考虑汇价反弹至1.98附近受阻,可考虑短线少量作沽,止损1.9830,目标看向1.9770/1.9730.






    美元/日元:汇价回调遇支撑后震荡走高,尾盘进一步回升至108附近运行.今早汇价窄幅下行.在淘金指3小时图中,最新出现向下手指加向上三角形信号,反映美元/日元回试前期高位受阻后,整体走势有再度趋于疲软的迹象,目前汇价于108附近窄幅整理走势为主,主趋势向下,预计其后市进一步震荡下跌的风险较大.


    操作建议:配合淘金指信号


    (1) 考虑汇价反弹至108.60附近受阻,可考虑短线作沽,止损控制于108.90附近,目标看向108.30/108.00.


    (2) 考虑汇价回调至107附近站稳迹象,可考虑短线少量做多,止损106.70,目标看向107.30/107.60.






    澳元/美元:澳元回调遇支撑后震荡走高,最高一度上行至0.9520附近,尾盘小幅回调.今早汇价小幅下跌.在淘金指3小时图中,最新出现向上手指加向下三角形信号,反映澳元震荡走高并重新站稳于0.94后,整体走势已明显转强,目前汇价初步支撑见于0.94附近,短线趋势向上,预计其今天回调遇支撑后震荡走高的机会较大.


    操作建议:配合淘金指信号


    (1)考虑汇价有效突破0.9530位,可考虑短线作多,止损控制于0.9500附近,目标看向0.9560/0.9590.


    (2)汇价回调至0.94附近站稳迹象,可考虑短线少量作多,止损控制于0.9370附近,目标看向0.9430/0.9460.






    美元/加元:汇价反弹受阻震荡回落,最低一度下跌至1.0110.今早汇价延续窄幅震荡走势.淘金指3小时图中,最新出现向下手指加向上三角形信号,反映汇价进一步走高受阻并承压回落后,整体走势已有所转弱,目前汇价正回抽前期支撑位,整体走势偏弱,预计其今天震荡下跌的风险较大.


    操作建议:配合淘金指信号


    (1) 考虑汇价有效跌破1.0100位,可考虑短线作沽,止损控制于1.0130附近,目标看向1.0070/1.0040.


    (2) 汇价反弹至1.02附近受阻迹象,可考虑短线作沽,止损控制于1.0230,目标看向1.0170/1.0130.






    美元/瑞郎:汇价下跌至1.0320附近遇到支撑,大幅弹升并收复之前失地.今早,汇价受阻小幅回落.在淘金指3小时图中,最新出现一个向上手指信号,反映汇价回升至1.04之上运行后,整体走势已有再度趋强的迹象,目前汇价进一步上行暂受阻,预计其今天回调遇支撑后震荡走升的机会较大.


    操作建议:配合淘金指信号


    (1)汇价回调至1.04站稳迹象,可考虑短线作多,止损1.0370,目标看向1.0430/1.0460.


    (2)考虑汇价反弹至1.05附近受阻,可考虑短线少量作沽,止损控制于1.0530附近,目标看向1.0470/1.0440.






    注:以上淘金指信号均参照淘金指3小时图实时信号

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    考虑汇价有效突破1.55位,可考虑短线做多,止损于1.5570,目标1.5630/1.5660.

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