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Thread: 澳洲聖喬治銀行:澳洲聯儲會議紀要溫和

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    Default 澳洲聖喬治銀行:澳洲聯儲會議紀要溫和

    澳洲聖喬治銀行:澳洲聯儲會議紀要溫和
    全球市場:美股三大股指周二全部走低,跌幅在0.7%-0.9%,受到疲弱的美國經濟數據和高盛警告稱美國銀行業還将融資650億美元以支持資産負債表的影響。美債收益率大幅下滑8-15個基點,美元則兌歐元和日元小幅走低。澳元/美元在低位尋得買盤支持,盡管澳洲聯儲6月利率會議紀要偏于溫和。

    澳大利亞:澳洲聯儲6月會議紀要顯示,政策決策者認爲維持利率不變的決定适合,并表示需求增長的放緩很可能發生。委員們同時指出,對需求和通脹的預測存在很大的不确定性,且需求放緩和通脹上升的矛盾正在增加。此外,全球經濟前景也存在高度的不确定性,盡管國際金融市場正在改善,但依然較爲艱難。不過澳洲聯儲也表示,若需求未能如預期般放緩,而通脹開始影響薪資和物價表現,将可能改變現有政策立場。我們依然認爲澳洲聯儲将維持利率不變至年底。

    給我留言
    美國:美國隔夜房産數據表現不佳,5月新屋開工下降3.3%,至17年低點;營建許可則下滑1.3%,繼續疲弱。其他數據方面,工業産出年率下滑0.2%,弱于預期;但産能利用率自79.6下降至79.4,繼續原理長期均值81.0。此外5月生産者物價指數月增1.4%,高于預期;核心指數月增0.2%,符合預期。

    英國:英國5月通脹升至16年高點3.3%,遠高于英國央行2%的目标,且将導緻英國央行行長緻信解釋。英國央行行長金恩表示通脹可能在08年下半年加速升至4%以上,但他同時指出,鑒于經濟增長和通脹的背離走勢,利率前景依然不确定。

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