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Thread: 黄金之跌幅相对欧元及油价仍属偏低

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    Default 黄金之跌幅相对欧元及油价仍属偏低

    黄金之跌幅相对欧元及油价仍属偏低
    周三见阿联酋央行行长al-Suweidi表示无计划离弃钉住美元汇率机制或将其货币dirham重组,消息反映联储局主席贝南克看紧美元汇率的宣言凑效,除卡塔尔动向未明之外,阿联酋似已搁置汇改计划,但欧元向淡反应有限。晚上见美国ADP 5月份模拟职位增长调查报告意外增长4万个,同期非制造业供应管理协会指数报51.7亦好过预测;联储局主席贝南克表示,近月来有些长期通胀预期指标有所上升,对联联局来说已构成明显关注,又指出货币政策制订者了解通胀预期受控对维持物价稳定的重要性。美元受数据及消息支撑但不明显,此外油价进一步下滑两美元令贵金属受压。而今晚市场焦点或放在八时三十分欧盟央行行长Trichet记者会上,前日见联储局主席贝南克于西班牙视像会议上强烈暗示会密切监察美元走势,Trichet如肯配合这类口头干预活动,亦可在此类场合表达欧元过强可能已损害经济之类说词,此情况下应可有效压抑欧元走势而利好美元。另八时三十分美国亦公布一周首次申领失业援助人数,上次数字为372K,预测数字为375K。
    技术图形方面黄金昨日于欧市时段下试前日低位875.1遇到支持,其后于美市逐步回调至接近0.618%之888.5而最高见886.6才见回软,其于880.0至885.5之间不断徘徊一段时间后才稍为稍软,金价虽仍处于偏弱之势,唯参考油价及欧元跌幅,则稍嫌金价之跌幅偏低,反映低位仍具一定支持,以图形而言金价暂时受困于875.0至886.6此幅度,估计黄金回调至882.0至884.0此附近应遇阻力,可于此区间看空,目标暂看870.5或865.0,甚至861.5,重要支持为上月中低位859.5,但如穿破止损位886.3,则或再次上试888.5或897.0,甚至905.0此水平。

    黄金在883.3可做空,以871.0或865.5为目标,止损位886.8

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    黄金之跌幅相对欧元及油价仍属偏低

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