BUY FXO Forum Shares
1316
Shares in the BANK:
We BuyWe Sell
$1.8495$1.9067
Results 1 to 2 of 2

Thread: 短线背离 美日下调风险加大

  1. #1
    Elder Analyst
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Posts
    506
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default 短线背离 美日下调风险加大

    基本面:



    美元昨天全线上扬,数据显示上月美国零售销售增长意外强劲,鼓舞了美联储今年可能升息的预期。美国商务部公布,美国5月零售销售增长1.0%,因在汽油价格高涨及楼价下滑之际,政府的退税支票支撑了消费者支出,美元从该数据中获得提振。我们看到财政激励措施已经深入到经济当中,看到了它对零售销售数据的影响。尽管油价创新高且今夏欧洲央行升息的预期升温,但随着美国经济正在复苏以及美联储也准备升息,美元的底部看来已成形。费城联储总裁普罗索也暗示可能升息,他表示,目前的美国利率水平支持美国经济成长,但美联储需在控制通膨预期方面保持警惕。这与欧洲央行的情况相反,上周特里谢暗示可能在7月升息,之后决策者重申了特里谢的言论,但表示这并不是一系列货币政策紧缩措施的开始。



    上一交易日回顾:



    美元兑日元日线图方向向上,昨天波幅129个点,收出一根小阳线。在经过了一天的短暂调整之后,美日继续延续升势。由于上方强阻108.60已经逐步迫近,做多空间相对有限。且汇价短线出现了顶背离信号,预计美日下调的风险在逐步加大。



    当日短线方向:冲高回落

    弱支撑:107.20强支撑:106.55

    强阻力:108.60



    走势分析:



    美元兑日元昨天再度强力上行创出近期新高,涨势良好。日线图多头动能再度加强,即将上攻108.60一带的强阻力,这道阻力是此前美日下跌的最后一个显著高点,能否升破决定着中线下跌趋势的结束。4小时图,均线系统多头排列,汇价突破了下降趋势线后加速上行。小时图,昨天美日小幅跌穿了均线系统之后重新转入上涨。macd有一次顶背离信号产生。目前汇价在对前期的涨幅进行盘整,且有一个旗形中继雏形,配合着均线系统的依托,今天可以顺势做多美日,止损放在最后一个显著低点107.20下方。



    操作参考:



    近期操作中,中线、短线均以向上操作为指导思路。

    有仓者:手中若有美日多单,止损放在107.00,目标108.50;手中暂不留有美日空单。

    空仓者:挂单107.65做多美元兑日元,止损107.10,目标108.50。

  2. #2
    Intraday Master
    Join Date
    May 2008
    Posts
    472
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default

    汇价短线出现了顶背离信号

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
Disclaimer
2005-2016 © FXOpen All rights reserved. Various trademarks held by their respective owners.

Risk Warning:: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgment as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

FXOpen Markets Limited, a company duly registered in Nevis under the company No. C 42235. FXOpen is a member of The Financial Commission.

FXOpen AU Pty Ltd., a company authorised and regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC). AFSL 412871ABN 61 143 678 719.

FXOpen Ltd. a company registered in England and Wales under company number 07273392 and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (previously, the Financial Services Authority) under FCA firm reference number 579202.

FXOpen does not provide services for United States residents.

Join us