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Thread: 伯南克为美元反弹加码

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    Default 伯南克为美元反弹加码

    上周五,美国公布就业数据意外疲软,刺激美指大幅走低,周一欧洲盘初,美指最低见72.13。周一纽约盘,美国公布4月成屋待完成销售指数月比上升6.3%至88.2,为去年10月来最高,预估为下降0.5%。数据暗示,去年下半年以来,美联储连续大幅降息对楼市的正面效应正日益显现,美国楼市的寒冬已开始解冻。房市有望企稳,为美联储结束扩张性货币政策提供可能。同时,美国持续高企的通胀,封杀了美联储的降息空间。利率期货走势显示,美联储10月升息的几率为88%,上周五为46%。另外,美国财长保尔森表示,不排除干预美元弱势的可能性。上述消息为美元带来支撑,美指回升至72.97。

      周二亚洲早盘,美联储主席伯南克发表讲话称,近期能源价格上涨加重了通胀和通胀预期上升的风险,过去一个月左右经济进入实质放缓的风险已经减弱。该言论进一步巩固了市场关于美联储本月将维持利率不变并于年底前升息的预期,力促美元进一步全面走强,美指最高升至73.23。

      技术上看,美指站上了纠结的日图中短期均线上方,短期走势趋强,建议关注上方阻力73.50、73.90;下方支撑72.80、72.40。

      周一,英国统计局公布数据显示,5月生产者输出物价指数月率上升1.6%,年率上升8.9%,生产者输入物价指数年率上升27.6%,均创纪录最高水平。通胀数据录得令人不安的高位,削弱了英国央行降息的预期,刺激英镑/美元反弹,最高见1.9800。但保尔森和伯南克的言论,令英镑/美元承压,周二欧洲初盘,汇价最低见1.9600。4小时图上看,英镑/美元冲高回落,建议关注下方支撑1.9540、1.9460;上方阻力见1.9680、1.9760。

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    Default

    美联储结束扩张性货币政策提供可能

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