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Thread: 欧美官员一唱一和

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    Default 欧美官员一唱一和

    本周初欧元区和美国官员一唱一和,为欧元/美元自昨日高点1.5845直线下落搭台,目前跌幅近350点。一方面,欧元区官员开始淡化特里谢上周加息信号带来的冲击,表示加息只是可能,并非确定,同时表示关注美国对汇率的态度,另一方面,美国高层继续努力抑制美元势头,美国总统布什表示希望美元走强,美国财长鲍尔森决绝排除买进美元进行干预的可能,美联储主席伯纳克发表讲话淡化上周五就业报告带来的美元利淡,表示失业率意外上升对经济前景没有实质性影响。过去一个月经济数据表明美国经济急剧下降可能性降低。美国的美元态度从默许其贬值到公开给予支持,这首先是为了应对通胀,最近的密歇根大学报告显示消费者长期通胀预期上涨到13年高点3.4%,迫使政策制定者关注通胀,让他们不能继续忽视美元贬值带来的影响,其次,原油价格最近涨幅惊人,上周五再创纪录新高139.12美元,今年涨幅约44%,周日美国汽油均价达到每加仑4美元,这将进一步打击消费者信心,增加美国经济陷入衰退的风险,美国政府已经有些动作,美国总统布什一月访问沙特要求欧佩克增产,5月再次出访沙特讨论油价问题,5月29日美国商品期货交易委员会表示在调查原油衍生品交易情况,伯纳克本人提及能源价格涨势时用到危机一词,上周在哈佛大学演讲中将目前情况和70年代石油危机做对比,都表明能源价格上涨对美国经济带来真正危险,以美元计价的原油价格涨幅远远高于以欧元计价的涨幅,这是美元贬值的又一恶果。

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    Default

    不能继续忽视美元贬值带来的影响

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