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Thread: 「投资」与「投机」

  1. #1
    Elder Analyst
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    Default 「投资」与「投机」

    「投资」与「投机」最大分别是在於前者在作出决定前都经过心思熟虑,清楚市场方向,更加明白自己的能力(包括财力及心理素质);而后者则只顾盲目跟随,「人云亦云」,尤其不瞭解自己所能承担之风险,最终必败而回。进行外匯买卖,目的当然是盈利,要达到这个目标,除了要懂得分析市场外,另一个要诀便是要选择一对适合自己的货币。所谓适合自己,意思指要以自己的心理素质、风险承担能力与财力来作指标,因为每对货币都有自己的特性,选择一对不适合自己的货币,不但会造成财政上的损失,心理上的压力更加难以估计。

    但应该如何选择一对适合自己的货币呢?每个货币组合与人性是很相似的,有不同的类型。

    如果您是进取型投资者,不怕风险又有足够的资本,英镑、欧元、瑞士法郎等一线货币,绝对符合您热爱刺激的心态。相反,如果您是一个较保守,既不愿承担太大风险,又爱做较长线交易的投资者,高利息回报及一些商品货币,如澳、纽、加元则较为合适。当然,以上的分类只是个人的观点,但客观上亦有数据的支持。

    欧元及英镑平均每天的波幅约130点左右(当中以英镑的波幅较大),但澳、纽、加等货币相对只有70-80点。最主要的原因是,一线货币每天上下波幅很大,每小时的波幅有可能超过二线货币整天的波幅。如果你是一个非常紧张的人,一线货币绝对不是好选择,因为不论结果是盈利或亏损都会令您寝食难安。如果您热爱挑战,二线货币可能会令您觉得枯燥乏味。另一要点是,二线货币通常较具方向感,走势也相对平稳,较容易选择出市入市的机会。投资外匯和选择伴侣一样,一定要配合自己的性格,否则定会分手收场(即输钱离场)。但外匯的好处是,选择多,每位投资者都必定能找到最适合自己的一对,甚至是几对货币,再配合现代的网上自助交易系统,效果自然更能事半功倍。

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    人云亦云,尤其不瞭解自己所能承担之风险,最终必败

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    配角容易形成猴市,主角很难猴市

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