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Thread: 欧银强硬态度超过美联储;美元本周料继续走软

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    Default 欧银强硬态度超过美联储;美元本周料继续走软

    在华尔街流传着一句名言
    不要和美联储对着干。这句话暗示,在华尔街投资者看来,美联储
    ;
    似乎无所不能,其决策将对个人投资决定起到关键指导作用。 欧洲央行行长特里谢上周清楚的表示,央行最早可能在 7月份升息,以抑制通胀,这一表态显示欧洲央行长期保持的中性货币政策立场已开始转变。这为买进欧元提供了充分的理由。  


    分析师指出,特里谢的言论十分明确,以致于使得市场几乎遗忘了美联储主席伯南克(Ben Bernanke)上周早些时候发表的强硬言论。伯南克上周初指出,美国的通胀率明显高于央行所期望的水平,而美元疲软则可能导致通胀进一步上升,他对此感到担忧。

      

    布朗兄弟哈里曼(Brown Brothers Harriman)的全球外汇主管Marc Chandler表示,市场得出的结论是特里谢比伯南克更加强硬,因为特里谢清楚的表达了可能升息,但伯南克并没有发出这样清晰的信号。因此,预计美元兑欧元将花费比此前预期的更长的时间才能见底。 该投行还因此将欧元美元今年年底时的预期从 提升至了 1.47 。


    有分析师指出,市场可能继续关注欧洲央行政策转变的蛛丝马迹,而相对的轻视美联储对通胀的担忧。因为从当前的情况看来,美联储年内升息的可能性并不大,尤其是在上周五的非农数据显示美国失业率急剧上升至5.5%
    ,创 10 月以来最高水平的情况下。 美元本周料继续走软.
    本周四美国将公布5月零售额数据,周五将公布消费者物价指数,预计这些数据会给美元带来些许支持。但分析师指出,即使美国数据好于预期,美元可能仍无法摆脱下跌的命运。



    伯南克等美联储官员本周将在波士顿举行会议,这些官员届时的评论也将是市场关注的焦点之一。但分析师预计,美联储可能很难再发表更多新的利好美元的言论。伯南克此前已经表明,美联储目前更担心的是通胀,并已暗示美联储不大可能进一步降息。

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    美元可能有要顺势下去了

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    而美元疲软则可能导致通胀进一步上升

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    美元肯定是走跌的!没有办法了!

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