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Thread: 判读盘势的智慧

  1. #1
    In Profit liubing's Avatar
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    Default 判读盘势的智慧

    现在人们或许并不了解何谓判读盘势,它是现代技术分析的雏形。犹如目前的技术分析一样,判读盘势需要仰赖模式的认定。两者最大的差异是,模式认定主要是依靠潜意识,而意识的判断相对较不重要。这犹如运动比赛一样,你停下来思考应该如何做时,你立刻会丧失注意力。你必须随时掌握所有因素,所以你无法根据意识反应。你必须同时观察10支至40支股票,不断记忆先前的高、低价位,以及重要的成交量。同时你潜意识中还必须知道价量跳动的速度与韵律、报价机的响声、个股发布新闻的频率、大盘指数与个股价格的变动、以及价格与成交量的模式。所有这些因素构成潜意识结论,就是通常所谓的市场直觉。

      由于知识的进步电脑与通讯的技术盘势判读已经是一种消失的艺术。目前你的经济状况可以负担一套电脑化的报价信息系统,仅需要按下几个键,便可以完全掌握过去所谓的直觉知识。你可以随时知道任何个股,类股,指数或期货的走势图,而且可以自动更新每次的价格跳动。配合某些电脑软件,你还可以画趋势线,设定买卖的警示价位。我想信,这种需要特殊才华的盘势判读能力,目前已经不切实际,而且没有必要了;场内交易员或许是唯一的例外。因此,交易已经成为一种更开放而竞争更剧烈的领域。

      然而看盘高手目前仍然掌握一项优势。拟定交易决策时,你必须绝对相信自己的正确性,但你还必须接受一项事实:市场可以证明你为错误。换言之,在被证明为错误之前,你绝对正确。因此,你必须根据原则与法则交易,任何感觉和愿望都不得干涉这项程序。买进或卖空时,你都必须扪心自问:在哪能一个价位上,市场将证明我为错误?一旦你决定这项价格,市场又触及此价位时,没有任何理由可以阻止你出场。这是根据的法则:迅速认赔。

  2. #2
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    Default

    谁能说判断完全准确?谁都不敢!!!!

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