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Thread: 中间价再创新高,但人民币兑美元涨势恐有限

  1. #1
    zhangyh
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    Default 中间价再创新高,但人民币兑美元涨势恐有限

    因美元走软,分析师预计美元/人民币将小幅走低,但跌幅可能有限,有关当局似乎不乐见美元/人民币跌势过速。 由于上周五公布的美国消费者信心指数疲软,美元全线下跌,但随着美联储日渐将重点转向加息,美元的跌幅受到制约。 今日人民币兑美元中间价创汇改以来的新高,人民币兑美元中间价报6.9372元,上日收报6.9420元。美元/人民币中间价上周五定为6.9472,连续4个交易日定在6.9400上方;该汇率随后升至6.9420。 摩根大通(JP Morgan)表示,美元/人民币上周止跌,但该行依然倾向作空美元/人民币NDF合约。 交易商们预计,美元/人民币今日支撑位见人民币6.9350元,阻力位见6.9550。1年期美元/人民币NDF目前跌至6.5009,上周五报6.5110。 技术分析显示,美元/人民币现货汇率阻力位见心理关口6.9500,随后是前波动区间底部6.9800元,上方是始于2月13日的下降趋势线所在位置6.9889。 支撑位见始于4月30日的下降趋势线所在位置,同时也是历史最低水平6.9355,随后见周线图上始于去年7月的下降趋势线所在位6.8924。

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    美联储日渐将重点转向加息

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