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Thread: 市场预期美元将步入升息周期

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    Default 市场预期美元将步入升息周期

    最近全国普降大雨,原来睛好的天气,一下子变了脸,早间出去,井原有秩的小区也是满地枯技败叶。昨日美元的上涨似乎也令外汇市场一片狼籍。

      美国数据的良好,而且市场预期美元将步入升息周期,令美元元气大足,昨日公布的gdp数据,一季度美国经济体温正常,双颊绯红,比预期的0.6%高,达到0.9%,尽管市场人士认为,这个利好有一部分贡献来自于美元近期大幅走软,使出口业出现勃勃生机。如果要维持高速的出口趋势,美元的的价值必须维持于此位。

      但是短线的数据利好,最近常常会震荡市场,令汇价走出漂亮的阳线,仍至于市场又会有许多人预测美元的春天提前来到。

      这种声音似乎并不遥远。似乎就在上周或者上上周,当欧元从1.5284快速拉升到1.57以上时,有许多人开始预测欧元将迎来第二个春天一样。

      最近似乎外汇市场总是在让人莫名亢奋或者莫名沮丧。但无疑何种,对于交易都不利,欧元从1.52拉升,但真正吃到全段或者2/3行情的人居少数。

      市场波动率永远是风险度的一个重要测量因素,因此,面对目前这种市场,无论自己猜对了方向还是看错了趋势。在操作上,尽量减少你的仓量。控制交易次数。

      个人觉得,近年,外汇交易的投机性越来越强,是过去不能比拟的。象这种行情,在2005年以前是很少见到的。

      所以无论你的判断是什么,在操作上,近期减仓操作,和减低频率操作。

      至于中长线的观点,我个人认为,还是不变。风筝的在天上,线在手上,天上风很大,有时东,有时西,但总体方位不会错。

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    Default

    外汇交易的投机性越来越强

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