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Thread: 本金安全,持久盈利,卓越回报

  1. #1
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    Default 本金安全,持久盈利,卓越回报

    1,本金安全

    钱是赚不完的,但是是输得完的。

    投资首先要保障资本安全,在没有盈利以前尽可能小地承担有限的风险。有了盈利以后用盈利来承担风险。

    例如,偶在《数学问题之一》的帖子里面讲,如果和投资人约定亏20%就清盘,偶会取个保险系数2,决不能轻易触及15%以上危险区域,首先按照10%来控制风险这10%还要分几次亏,也不能轻易过线。万一运气不好连亏几次到了10%了,剩下的10%抗风险还要分两份,按5%来控制风险。如本金100w时10手一做,亏10%90w时就5手一做。

    春节后锌价调整偶砍了500吨,不砍的话可能扛个10%左右的风险就回来了,后面就赚大了。但这次扛10%风险,下次可能就会扛15%的风险,考虑投资生涯还要有几十年要走的话,将来可能面对更变态的行情。一旦输完了就没法玩了,本金安全比赚钱更重要。

    2,持久盈利

    在任何情况下都要具备盈利的技术和信心。不能非要抛个顶才会做空,抄个底才会做多。要在行情的任何地方任何价位都会玩(能做到这点,自然也就避免了摸顶捞底投机心态,不怕错过机会,才能任何时候保持客观看待市场)

    例如,最初偶的锌多建仓均价是1720左右,但是到1月6日上一期基金清算了,1月9日开始重新计算盈亏,这时候锌价1965,不能说1720买到会玩,1965的时候空仓就不会玩了一样也要会玩;春节后的调整中被洗出来,重新建仓均价在2300,2830的时候还追了点远期......铜价6500了,都不知道踏空多少点了......但是如果今天得到一笔钱,咱一样得会玩,顶多跟前面赚了钱的比,抗风险能力差点儿,仓位做小点儿

    3,卓越回报

    这个没什么好说的,赚大钱的机会永远有,只要活着就看得到。

    ......我从来不执着于大捞一票的机会,首要之务是保障资本,其次再追求一致性的报酬,然后以一部分的获利进行较有风险的交易.结果,大捞一票的机会还是会出现,但我并不需要承担过度的风险-----这一切并不是巧合.

    让我们以经营事业的角度考虑,我的哲学基于三项原则,按重要性排列如下:保障资本,一致性的获利能力以及追求卓越的报酬.

    《专业投机原理》

  2. #2
    Elder Analyst
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    Default

    在任何情况下都要具备盈利的技术和信心。

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