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Thread: 忧心忡忡的美联储强硬派或将酝酿转变货币政策姿态

  1. #1
    zhangyh
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    Default 忧心忡忡的美联储强硬派或将酝酿转变货币政策姿态

    近几周,美联储(FED)强硬派委员们对通胀压力忧心忡忡,不过这种担忧对货币政策前景的影响依然未知。 因全球食品和能源成本飙升,美国5月整体通胀压力显著增加。由于物价压力意外强劲,整个5月,一些地区联储已经不胜其扰。而更加糟糕的是,有证据显示公众的通胀恐慌情绪已经上升。 至今为止,美联储的强硬派官员为了给尚未恢复的金融市场和广义经济"开绿灯",而不愿讨论采取激进的手段将通胀压制到可控水平以下。不过,金融市场似乎正在企稳,并且美国房市对经济带来的结果也不如此前多数人所预期的那么可怕。这给了强硬派官员们一些周转的余地。今年至今为止,他们一直仅满足于反对降息,但是目前,他们中至少有一个人愿意站出来提出一些更加激进手段。 达拉斯联储主席费舍尔(Richard Fisher)本周三在旧金山声称,"如果通胀和更加重要的通胀预期继续恶化,我期望货币政策的变化来的宜早不宜晚,即使是在经济贫血时期。" 费舍尔本周的言论得到了广大投资者的支持。有投资者开始思量,美联储将在今年晚些时候升息。其他美联储官员也开始出现类似的担忧,不过他们还没有像费舍尔这样,预见到转变货币政策这一步。 明尼阿波利斯联储主席斯特恩(Gary Stern)本周表示,虽然食剔除食品和能源成本后的核心通胀数据表现改善,但整体通胀的增幅显然过快,令人不适,并且通胀预期远没有达到"合理受控"的地步。 斯特恩指出,"我们做决定转变目前货币政策姿态的及时性以及坚决度,可能会是保持通胀在可控水平以下的关键。" 本月早些时候,堪萨斯联储主席霍恩(Thomas Hoenig)描述了一幅可怖的画面。他认为,通胀压力目前正处于不可接受的高水平。 霍恩声称,"通胀压力的上升已经开始使我们产生一种通胀的心理,从某种层度上和上世纪70-80年代的情形相似,这才是更大的担忧。通胀压力将继续上涨并深入到经济发展中的风险很高,需要以明显从紧货币政策来减轻通

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