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Thread: 升值趋势犹存

  1. #1
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    Default 升值趋势犹存

    来自中国外汇交易中心的最新数据显示,5月28日人民币兑美元汇率中间价报6.9408,较前一交易日小幅走高24个基点。但近期,尤其是上个月升值步伐有所加快,人民币升值是否会如有关市场人士预测那样,改变其单边升值现状从而出现逆转走势?或者继续保持强劲升值势头?

      对此,市场人士的看法几乎一致人民币长期升值难以扭转。

      保持升值趋势

      湘财证券首席经济学家金岩石认为,从过去几年来看,美国高消费与中国高生产、高出口相平衡。次贷危机打破了中美经济平衡。重新建立平衡,需要依赖人民币升值。他告诉记者,当人民币兑美元汇率达到1∶5.55,欧元兑美元升值60%左右时,才能达到国际供需关系平衡。

      我预计人民币升值将一直持续到明年年底。金岩石说。尽管人民币将保持持续升值趋势,但在金岩石看来,人民币将出现从加快升值到放缓升值的局面。作出以上判断,是基于对美国经济走势判断。美国从去年开始发生次贷危机,今年进入衰退期,明年可能走出谷底。当美元重拾升势,会对人民币升值速度产生影响。

      升值压力趋缓

  2. #2
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    Default

    有投资价值的公式

  3. #3
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    Default

    欧元兑美元升值60%左右

  4. #4
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    Default

    人民币长期升值难以扭转

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