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Thread: 我在外汇交易学习中的两点结论

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    Default 我在外汇交易学习中的两点结论

    来第三波也快一个月了,这也是我进入外汇交易的时间,还没有进行过实盘交易,只是申请了一个模拟帐号操练学习,不打无准备之仗嘛,呵呵
    俗话说实践出真知,我只是炒过一段时间股票,炒外汇这是头一次,一段时间后发现有大大的不同。以前没接触过,说出来不怕笑话,那时候觉得汇率变动这么小,都是小数点后3,4位上变动,能有多大利润啊,怎么能跟的上股票翻番的长呢。的确,如果没有保证金这种方式的话,外汇交易也只能是有钱人消遣的游戏,投入个几万,几十万美金,才能看到几百美金的上下的浮动,要想翻番谈何容易。所以在这里看了一些常识和帖子,对保证金先了解一番。
    保证金直观一点就是把你银行存款中一部分抵押给银行,然后根据银行的标准,放大一定程度也就是乘上杠杆系数,借给你,在你的意愿下帮你进行外汇买卖,但银行随时关注你的交易情况,他也怕亏啊,毕竟你只抵押了那么一点钱,所以如果亏损超出了你的银行存款余额,就毫不客气的平仓了。所以先弄清一个概念:
    外汇买卖中,真正交易的是银行,我们只是负责补上亏损或获得盈利。
    那接下来就算算看为何保证金交易有那么大风险和利润。
    杠杆系数:S=200 存款资金:M 使用比率:C 买卖货币每手每点盈利:K=10(欧美)
    那么保证金: C*M 余额:(1-C)M
    能够购买的手数: CMS/100000 200倍杠杆就是:CM/500
    每点盈利或亏损: KCM/500
    价格变化点数:X
    正确方向盈利:X*KCM/500

    错误方向亏损: X*KCM/500 盈利没什么好担心的,但我们能亏多少呢?
    X=帐号余额/每点亏损=(1-C)M/(kcm/500)=500(1-C )/KC
    第一个结论:能够亏损的点数,与你帐号上余额多少无关,而只与使用比率有关!
    打个比方:你用了一亿做保证金,但余额只有一亿,也就是C=50%,如果买的是欧美,一手一点盈利K=10,则X=50 也就是虽说你有一亿余额,但也只能承受50点的下跌,超过50点银行就给你平仓,一亿就泡汤了。但如果只使用C=10%做交易,则X=450,不设止损的话一般100点上下的震荡还不至于被强行平仓。

    继续推导:
    我们盈利的目标和止损的目标其实一样,大家都喜欢用占总存款资金的比率来衡量,那这个比率就是:A=盈利或亏损/存款资金=X*KC/500
    第二个结论:盈利或损失的比率,与帐号上的钱依然无关,而只与使用比率有关!
    以欧美为例:使用C=10%交易,那么A=X/500,也就是说上涨50点就盈利10%,同样如果是做错方向就损失10%,还真是双刃剑啊,不过伴随高风险就有高回报,像这样用10%做保证金,做对方向500点,就是100%盈利,能让帐号资金翻一番,如果用20%做保证金,250点翻番,100%的做,50点翻番,疯了!如果你是神,100%做,一天还不得翻上几番啊,深度意淫中。。。 如果不是神,10%做,不贪心,一个月只要作对方向100点就盈利20%,安全加稳妥啊
    暂时就想到了这两点,公式很简单,但结论很惊心,不是吗?

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    .如果出现连续亏损3次以上 离开3-5天 放松一下 旅行 约会

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    安全加稳妥啊

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    盈利的目标和止损的目标其实一样

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    那要看本金的大小了
    如果只有区区的100刀
    那一个月的10%也就10刀收入啊
    哈哈哈
    当然如果有个100w刀
    楼主的这样的计算是很好的
    必经稳当是最主要的

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    我就是常用100刀,0。1手做也爆了几次帐户了

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    Quote Originally Posted by hflxw View Post
    我就是常用100刀,0。1手做也爆了几次帐户了
    100刀,0.1手只能抗100点
    这样的杠杆还是太大了

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    我赚50用了十分钟,赔一百用了不到5分钟 哈哈哈

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    从入门开始走向精通

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    楼主没发烧吧,都是臆想,怎么没想想,做不好会不会爆仓呀

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