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Thread: 通胀幽灵来到日本

  1. #1
    Elder Analyst
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    Default 通胀幽灵来到日本

    日央行公布4月8/9日会议记录,内容显示央行认为需要关注消费者的通胀预期,因为物价上涨速度为10年最快,商品和原油价格的高涨导致全球范围内通胀升温风险加大。日本3月cpi年率1.2%,是1998年以来最高,一位央行货币政策委员会成员表示4月cpi增速可能放慢,但仍将保持上升趋势。通胀预期导致日本投资者减少持有日本国债,日本10年期国债收益率上涨到7个月高点。彭博社调查显示多数经济学家仍预期日本将保持利率不变。无处不在的通胀幽灵让人不安,欧洲股市今日下跌,欧元区采购经理人指数低迷,风险偏好受压,下周一英美两地假期,长周末前交易商加紧平仓,都打压套息交易,日元成为欧洲时段最大赢家,兑美元、欧元及其他多个货币对均有较大涨幅。

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    日本政府对日元汇率的干预比起别的国家来说是非常频繁的,日本的资本市场近年很重视重要性,日本政府开始考虑手中的巨额以美元计价的国际债权的风险。
    近期与中国关系的改善也是重要的方向。

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    Default

    日本越通货膨胀越好,做u/j的震荡越大

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