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Thread: 欧元突破整理平台,有望继续上探

  1. #1
    Bullish yhglyy's Avatar
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    Default 欧元突破整理平台,有望继续上探

      2008-5-21 16:44
    上周欧元大部分时间在底部附近窄幅整理,有筑迹象,而在周五,欧元突破阻力位1.5568,最高上探至1.5599.在本周一,欧元创上周五的高位后受阻回调,周二多方开始主动进攻,多方力量增强,后市有可能继续上探前期高位.



    受到次贷危机的负面影响,欧元区经济增长也比疲软,受到了抑制. 欧元区二季度Ifo经济景气指数降至76.3,为五年来最低水平,暗示了欧元区域经济可能会持续疲软,这对欧元来说是一个不利消息.



    另外国际原油及食品价格不断上涨,刺激了全球物价的上升,也给欧元区的通胀带来了很大的压力. 欧洲央行15日公布的对预测人士进行的季度调查显示,分析师们已经上调了对欧元区08年和09年的通货膨胀预期,以预估当前食品和原油价格高企的影响. 欧洲央行行长特里谢周一也发出警告称,全球正在经历一场持续的且非常重大的市场调整,决策者应当将维护物价稳定作为首要任务.通胀的加剧也增加了市场对欧央行升息的预期, 欧洲央行韦伯也表示,因通胀高企,不能排除央行采取升息的可能性.



    美国3月资本净流出482亿美元,2月净流入489亿美元,从中可以看到国外资本并不看好美国经济,有资本撤离的迹象. 另外美国劳工部上周三公布的数据显示,美国消费者物价指数0.2%,低于预期的0.3%,尤其是剔除食品和能源价格的核心通胀,进一步证明经济增长放慢缓解了由食品和能源价格飙升导致的通胀.通用胀数据的下跌增加了市场对美联储再次降息的预期,同时也为美联储的降息留出了空间.



    从技术上看,欧元/美元震荡上行,日线图已经升破了30均线,趋势转向向上,走势偏强,有可能作U形反转,上探前期高位1.6关口.淘金指日线图最新没有发出信号,但是日线图维持多头情绪,表明多方力量占优,多方投投资者掌控市场,而过滤图则出现了向上手指,暗示了短线多方力量主动进攻,投资者积极做多,市场已经从双方拉锯战进入单边向上运行趋势,欧元短线小幅回调后将继续向下运行,中线维持向上方向.欧元在1.5850一线将是一个比较大的阻力位,市场进入此位可能会作短暂的停顿,甚至回调至1.57附近,积蓄力量,调整后再继续向上运行.

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    Elder Analyst
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    Default

    还是有道理的

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    Bullish
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    Default

    当然了,基础支持要好好学习才是!

  4. #4
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    当然了,基础支持要好好学习才是!

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