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Thread: 确定阻力和支撑的作用

  1. #1
    Piplet
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    Default 确定阻力和支撑的作用

    基本面分析方法对确定阻力和支撑的作用,如每天说的经济数据,包括昨天晚上美国贸易赤字继续上升引发市场的波动,通过对数据和基本面的分析确定目前的整体趋势,目前情况下美国赤字状况仍不理想而且原油价格持续上升,大的趋势上美元仍偏弱为主。这基本面就是拿来评估大的趋势.
    你必须兼顾基本面,同时运用技术面把它找出来,这是我的一个看法。在我们实际的操作当中,基本上可以把寻找阻力和支撑分为四个步骤,第一个步骤我们要知道整个市场的基本趋势是怎样的?我们说欧元最近一段时间趋势怎样,欧元从中国宣布人民币升值之后,到那个星期过后的突破,欧元已经改变了中期持续下跌的趋势,整个基本面来说,就说昨天原油价格上升到66美元一桶,美国的贸易赤字进一步扩大,美国经济前景仍然需要谨慎,我们从这样一些大的因素来看,基本上可以判断欧元处在偏强的趋势当中,这就是我们一开始要了解一下,从基本面简单的分析把握现在整个市场对欧元来说还是有利的,至少在短期内。另外一个是要从基本面寻找这一个市场现在的焦点是什么?我们市场上讨论最多的,说最多话的是哪个话题?前一段时间我们说了很多关于欧盟宪法的事情,到了月底的时候我们又说了很多人民币升值的事情,大家知道现在整个市场的焦点已经有所转变了,大家开始关注不断上涨的原油价格到底怎样影响接下面的市场,这一个是我们要确定一下到底接下来的市场还有最近的市场主要的焦点是什么?我们完成这两项工作之后,我们基本上可以形成这样的概念,第一个我们拿欧元来说,欧元短期的趋势是比较稳健而且偏强的,另外一个目前市场的焦点对美元是不利的,因为大家会担心,原油价格在短期内上升到70美元的话,现在美国所有表现出来非常良好的零售、良好的制造业数据,这一切会不会受影响?美国这种比较良好的经济状况能不能持续?这就是大家接下来要考虑的问题,确定这样的问题,我们把基本的趋势确定下来。

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    Default

    这是个复杂的问题

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