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Thread: 技术分析与趋势的力量

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    Default 技术分析与趋势的力量

    与股票相类似地,外汇分析可从两个方面进行:一是基本面,主要考察的是各国的经济运行状况;二是技术面,也就是通过k线组合和一些技术指标来研判后市。个人觉得,市场的走势往往已包含了所有的信息(包括已经公布的和尚未公开的,由于信息是不对称的,我们知晓的只是其中的一部分),短期来看,技术分析优于基本面分析,对行情的把握更准确;甚而,我们认为,投资外汇,只要分析技术面就够了。未来是不确定的,表面良好的经济数据,里头可能蕴藏着极大的风险(我们的专业知识总是有限的,不可能对所有的信息都能做出客观的判断),先知先觉者率先做空,这在走势上通常可以一目了然地看出,而不用分析纷繁复杂的经济数据。记住一句名言:简单的往往是最实用的。本人技术分析所使用的主要是k线组合以及均线系统,其他技术指标仅做参考。个人经验,均线在研判行情的阻力位与支撑位以及趋势时有较高的准确度。若均线系统多头排列,那么价格在未来的一段时间内往往会保持在一个上升的状态,有回调到相应均线则可伺机介入。
    具体操作时,我们应该谨记顺势而为,切勿逆势操作;同时我们应当在把握趋势的基础上,做足趋势。当某一新的信息被公布时,汇率也许会暂时偏离原来的运行方向,但趋势的力量是无可阻挡的,短暂的偏离,将是极好的投机机会,昨日英镑的走势就是个很好的例证。12月6日17:30,英国公布了低于预期的经济数据,在前面的数天交易时间以及当天17:00之前的交易,英镑始终保持强势,而从17:00开始我们从盘面上就可明显地感觉到英镑受到了相当大的沽压,在相关数据公布后,英镑再次受到大幅沽空,盘中下破了5日均线,但尾市还是收在了5日均线上方,全天振幅高达144个点。

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    Default

    趋势不可抗拒

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    Default

    市场的走势往往已包含了所有的信息

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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by yuzhong View Post
    市场的走势往往已包含了所有的信息
    是的,这是三大原理之一了
    所以只看价格的走势就好了
    就像楼主诉说的越简单越有效
    =======
    My trading principles:
    Follow the trend in a light positions.

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