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Thread: 小亏大赢(转载

  1. #1
    Intraday Master Shang Liu Lu's Avatar
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    Default 小亏大赢(转载

    炒汇就像作战一样,要先学会保护自己。保护好自己,才能杀伤敌人。不然自己都牺牲了,如何能再歼灭敌人呢?外汇市场就是一个适者生存的市场。在小张重新开始真实交易之后,接下来发生的事也让他明白了:炒汇最重要的不是你一次能够赚取多少,而是你能不能稳定地获利,长久地立足生存

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    Intraday Master Shang Liu Lu's Avatar
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    相信汇民朋友们也曾有过这样的经历:在买入一组货币对后,如果汇价大幅下跌,就会赶紧止损离场,并随着汇价的持续下跌,心里不住地暗自庆幸,幸好自己已经止损出场了。但是更多时候我们会碰到相反的行情,在止损出场之后,汇价突然发力反弹,大幅上涨,令你来不及再次买入,而且反弹的价位比你止损的价位还要高。这样几次以后,我们就没有了止损的概念,认为汇价迟早要回到买入的价位以上。我也有过类似的教训。

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    在我从模拟交易回到真实交易之后,就遇到了这样的情况。刚开始的时候,只要下好单子,我就设好30点的止损,50点的止赢。但每次入场后,汇价往往在打掉我的止损价位后,又再次上扬,和我原先判断的趋势一样,那时候,我只能以“倒霉”来安慰自己。记得有一次,我看多美元/加元,于是便在1.0452买入,并设上止损30点,止赢50点。入场后,美元/加元如我所愿的继续上涨。但在上涨了20个点以后,汇价突然掉头向下,跌到1.4510,正好打掉我的止损,并在小幅盘整了一番之后,拉了一根大阳线,快速上涨。到当天晚上,美元/加元上涨了200多点。和这波行情失之交臂,我感觉挺郁闷的,心想如果不设止损该有多好。于是,在接下来的几次操作中,如果我感觉我的判断是准的,我就不设止损了。结果,还真是让我对了几次。渐渐地,我也就忽略了设置止损的重要性。也正是这种心态,才造成了我后面一次交易的重大亏损。当时正处于日元大跌的时候,市场上基本以看多美元/日元为主。我是在121.80买入美元兑日元的,入场之后没多久,汇价跌到了121.30,我也没出场,心想美元/日元肯定是会上去的,估计可以看到123,再等等吧,随后就去睡觉了。第二天起床后,美元/日元跌到了120.50,和我的入场价位已经相差了100多点,我开始有点慌了,但还存有一丝侥幸心理,觉得跌下去那么多,总该有个反弹吧,等反弹上去我再平仓,这样可以少损失点。然而,事与愿违,汇价不但没有反弹,而且还继续下跌,120、119……到118的时候,由于资金所剩不多,我不得不平仓了。由于我没有及时止损,这一次交易让我亏损许多,不但把之前的利润都赔进去,还损失了本金,心中懊恼不已。

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    因此,我认为,资金管理最重要的一点就是止损,及时认亏出场,保存实力。成功的投资者是小亏大赢,而不是大亏小赢。即使有再高的成功几率,比如说下一单的成功率为99.9999%,连续赚100次或者1000次也好,如果不明白小亏大赢的道理,不设止损,最终的结果可能就是那0.0001%的一次失误导致全军覆没,亏得一无所有。资金管理的重点不在于成功率,而在于是否能做到小亏大赢。不怕连续亏10次或100次,只要还可以生存,只要抓住一次盈利的机会,就可以把前面的亏损一次赚够。必须要学会如何输钱,这比学会如何赢钱更为重要。

      我们应记住一位金融巨头的忠告“警悚者生存”。既然高利润对面是高风险,我们就应在可怕的风险前面划上一条止损线,它可能就是我们的生命线。

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    资金管理确实很重要,但做起来不是那么简单

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    学习 学习 学习 学习

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    侥幸心理是失败的重要原因

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    是这样的,炒汇最重要的 不是你一次能够赚取多少,而是你能不能稳定地获利,长久地立足生存

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