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Thread: 汇率技术分析

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    Default 汇率技术分析

      1.当今世界上研究汇率变化的经典理论主要有三个:英国学者葛逊的国际借贷说、瑞典经济学家卡塞尔的购买力平价说、英国着名经济学家凯恩斯的利率平价说。其中以利率平价说和购买力平价说对市场的影响最大。值得广大从事个人实盘外汇买卖客户注意的是,以上的学说都有许多前提和假设,理论色彩较重。
      2.汇率技术分析的三个基本假设
      a.汇率反应一切即经济、政治、心理预期等影响汇率的所有因素的变化都会真实而充分地反应在汇率上。这就犹如中医诊断中的"号脉"一样,一个人的身体状况和器官疾病都会通过脉搏节律、强度的变化反映出来,有经验的中医通过"号脉"就可以掌握人体健康的基本状况。汇率波动的曲线是影响汇率的基本因素变化的结果。
      b.汇率是按照一定的趋势和规律变化的如果没有这个假设,所有的技术分析就显得那么无聊和滑稽。
      c.历史会重演技术分析是建立自对历史数据进行统计分析的基础之上的,通过研究和分析,总结出一定规律,形成一套完整的理论和方法并运用于实践,目的是用以前的规律来预测未来的趋势。

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    Default

    也就是说任何一次交易风险是必然存在的

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