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Thread: K线组合 打开预测未来走势的钥匙

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    Cool K线组合 打开预测未来走势的钥匙

    预测未来走势是很多投资者梦寐以求的,为了能够准确预测外汇走势,我们发明了均线系统、RSI、KD、MACD...很多投资者沉浸在研究这些技术指标的奥秘中不能自拔,往往在不知不觉中走进了技术指标为我们设定的怪圈,反而忽视了市场主体-K线研究。

      任何技术指标都是人发明的,只要是人为设定的技术指标就一定会有缺陷(例如:RSI到达80以上或20以下我们称为超买和超卖,但不等于说 RSI到了80以上就不涨了、跌到20以下就不跌了,而是由于计算公式原因产生了滞胀或滞跌,但汇价并不会因此而受到影响)。并且任何技术分析手段都是辅助我们分析、研究K线的,如果将分析结果建立在指标分析而不是K线分析上,那就会产生本末倒置的结果。

      外汇市场中的价格波动不仅反映了投资者对市场的预期(任何分析方法得出的结论都要通过买卖反映在市场中――K线是其表现形式),而且还反映了交易者的心态、多空双方资金实力对比以及所有市场行为。因此,我们只要认真研究、分析K线(5、15、30、60分钟图、天图、周图、月图),分析K线的组合,就会从中发现很多市场信息,达到事半功倍的效果。

      例如:一根K线位于市场什么位置、K线开盘与收盘如何、K线实体大小、K线上下引线长短...三根k线的组合是怎样的、这种组合位于图表中的什么位置以及这种组合是在什么时间周期中(分钟、天图、周图)...都会暗示、告知我们很多市场信息。只要我们仔细研究分析,就能够找到打开预测未来走势的钥匙。

      许沂光撰写的《风险投资实用分析技巧》是一本研究K线理论的书,里边有许多关于K线图形、K线组合的分析,简单易懂,大家不妨找来看看。

      我个人遵循越简单越有效的真理。这个市场不是涨就是跌,不是买就是卖,没有必有搞的那么复杂。如果将很多技术指标一起分析,有时会发现它们之间出现矛盾现象,这是因为它们所站的分析角度不同而导致的。

      自然界就是这样奇特,由简单到复杂、再由复杂回到简单,任何事物发生、发展、灭亡都遵循这一规律。投资市场也一样,投资者如果能以平和的心态去面对、以纯净的眼光去分析、以无为的方式去交易,就一定会有所回报。

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    不少人喜欢在牛皮市中高沽低揸赚点小钱。但牛皮市的突破后升(跌)浪的利润更丰厚且风险更小,故笔者主张牛皮市不入,静待其突破后跟进,轻松赚顺风钱为上策。

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    我们必须深刻理解这项原则,这项原则也是来自于惨痛的经验。

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    反映了投资者对市场的预期

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    人为设定的技术指标就一定会有缺陷

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    日本蜡烛图 一定要看的书,能给人很多启发。

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    不要介入牛皮市,资金会在不知不觉中缩水

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