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Thread: 浅谈技术分析

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    Default 浅谈技术分析

    目前技术分析方法有两种:模型分析和图表分析。
    (1)模型分析是利用数据去构造一个模型,以此说明一个变量通过什么途径影响另一变量的,从而考察一个变量是否会影响另一个变量。
    例如:你对吸烟有害健康这个问题感兴趣,你就要建一个模型,对吸烟如何影响肺功能、导致人体新陈代谢变化的数据进行研究,对吸烟有害健康的过程进行分析。
    此分析方法用在外汇分析上的优点是:能够了解外汇走势的全过程(或影响外汇波动的因素),分析结果科学准确。缺点是:很难建立起这种模型结构,对大多数投资者来讲无操作性可言。
    (2)图表分析认为,市场行为包容消化一切、价格以趋势方式演变、历史会重演。
    此分析方法用在外汇分析上的优点是:简单易学,对大多数投资者来讲具有可操作性。缺点是:用的人多了以后,图表分析结果的有效性会降低。
    总结:模型分析适合于投资银行;图表分析适用于中小投资者。
    我的个人观点:越简单的也是越实用的。

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    对于从事投资工作的人,必须培养自己良好的忍性和耐力。

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    从事外汇交易,要量力而为,万不可孤注一掷,把一生的积蓄或全部家底如下大赌注一样全部投入。

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    欧元的主趋势从伦敦时段开始显露,在此之前,价格会引诱你朝另一方向想,而事实上它却准备好向相反方向走。

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    分析结果科学准确

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    图表分析适用于中小投资者

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    越简单的也是越实用。的确,你不用把所有的指标都学会,找到适合自己的就可以了,真要是等所有指标都符合开仓条件,那么市场也就该是变化的时候了。

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