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Thread: 如何运用波浪理论判断起涨点

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    Default 如何运用波浪理论判断起涨点

      波浪理论是一个极其庞大和复杂的技术分析体系,它是在道氏理论的基础上进一步揭示了价格涨跌循环的内在规律,即关于波浪级别的划分,而波浪级别的划分又是波浪理论中最抽象、最不容易把握的部分。它究竟难在哪里呢?

      首先它难在对某一级别上升行情终点的确认,比如例图中各个不同位置的C点。而笔者认为,一是不要试图测量最终目标,通常1比1的目标基本上是可以达到的,即每个B至C的幅度大约与起点至A的幅度相当(这里不再考虑1至5浪如何划分);二是要每只股票在一波行情里只交易一次,然后继续寻找符合条件的下一只股票。

      其次是如何发现起始的B点。首先我们还是需要解决如何证明C点已经出现过了的问题。当行情突破A点并且达到大于或等于起点至A点的幅度以后,再度回落到A点以下,就意味着C点已经出现过了。而发现和确认B点有这么几个方法:一是大B经常不低于小B;二是在下跌过程中如果非常明显地呈下跌反弹再下跌(创新低)态势的话,通常股价重新回到第一次下跌的低点以上时,基本就宣告了再下跌(创新低)处就是B点;三是B点可能处于某双底的位置,但需要待行情有效突破某重要的颈线或压力线以后才能确认

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    波浪理论是一个极其庞大和复杂的技术分析体系

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    做多时害怕诱多,害怕假突破,做空时害怕诱空,从而导致机会从眼前白白消失。

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    波浪理论太过复杂,每个人数出的波浪都不一样,最好还是不用

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    每个人数出的波浪都不一样,最好还是不用,确实是这样

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