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Thread: 走近巴菲特

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    Default 走近巴菲特

    有一句形容天气的话天气就像孩儿的脸,变化无常,阴晴不定。如果用这句话来形容当前的股市也不为过。去年10月份,上证指数高达6000多点,牛气冲天。不料才过了仅仅5个月,股市便是一片跌声,跌破年线的时刻更是让人感到整个市场气势熊熊,不少投资者的心都绷得紧紧的。跌破了4000点的关口之后,唱空者更是占了上风,部分机构表示不再乐观,中小投资者也人心惶惶,不少人都在高喊熊来了。不过,小孩的脸儿就是这样阴晴不定,跌破了3700点心理关口之后,本周三大盘展开了一波反弹,上证指数报收于3761点。
      就在这忽上忽下、阴晴不定的股市中,投资者的心备受煎熬,这厢是唱空大军在摇旗呐喊,那厢是抄底大军在摩拳擦掌。在这样的选择中,很多投资者,尤其是新股民左右为难不买可能错过,买了可能是过错,这是一个两难的选择。也许美国著名投资经理人彼得林奇的这番话这时让投资者体会颇深。那么,就让我们暂且抛开涨跌与买卖,从投资大师巴菲特的智慧中来寻找灵感吧。

      巴菲特的投资有一个特点,那就是持有股票的时候反动。

      1984年到1986年,美国股市出现了第三次大牛市,指数狂涨了2.46倍。那时每个人都知道股票的价值被高估了,但是在巨大的诱惑面前还是买了股票。那个时候,人人都在谈股票,大家都围着基金经理转,连牙医也不例外,人人都围着基金经理并向他推荐股票。然而从1986年起,巴菲特却开始抛售股票,1987年,他抛掉了除了华盛顿邮报等三只股票之外手上所有的股票。1987年10月股市暴跌,两个月之后,股市迅速地反弹,大盘上涨的幅度为5%,而巴菲特当年由于持有华盛顿邮报、可口可乐等三只重仓股,赚了20%。1988年至1989年赚了64%,远超过大盘48%的涨幅。

      故事仍然是那个故事,但在不同的时期反复玩味,会有不同的收获。不少人在闲暇之余研究巴菲特的投资理念,对大师的投资手法赞许有加。可是我们发现,当自己真正面对这样的考验时,作出的往往是相反的选择。也许我们无法苛求自己像大师一样去思考和处理问题,但我们有没有意识到,每一次冷静和思考,每一次学习和体会,其实都让我们向大师走近了一步。聚沙成塔,积少成多,若干年之后,再回过头看看过去,相信每个人都将成为自己的巴菲特

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    Default

    研究巴菲特的投资理念

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    Default

    学不来的!太难了

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