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Thread: 如何看待"反弹"的机会?

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    Default 如何看待反弹的机会?

    节前最后一个交易日,大盘在601857中石油等拉动下,终于大幅反弹了。量能的极度萎缩,热点的难以延续,反弹是什么机会?



    技术面,量能萎缩,弱势未改,反弹有限。

    基本面上,系统性风险尚未真正化解,相反,仍在延续。

    政策面上,没有任何做多信息。

    既然如此,如何看待反弹的机会?相信比较清晰。



    1、底部不是砸出来的,更不是抄出来的,是走出来的,是构筑出来的,其过程绝非一日之功。2、弱市中行股,包括抄底,无疑于虎口拔牙!!!3、耐心等待底部的构筑,无疑是小散唯一的选择。4、3300关难保的根本原因是:系统性风险+制度性缺陷。目前体现在解禁+减持,进而影响的信心+资金。



    操作上:

    1、严格遵循自己的用刚强的意志、坚强的斗志、顽强的拼搏精神,坚定独立研判,继续保持空仓状态。

    2、贯彻二不(决不参与高手抄底运动,决不参与底部虎口拔牙活动)。

    3、按照自己的耐心+信心=财富的战术,让抄底者将底部夯实后,底部警报解除后,稳健介入。



    坚持:1、守空仓、弃反弹、等外援!!! 2、短线,大盘不稳,就坚决不介入。6月20日前,反弹就是减仓机会。3、中长线,系统性风险不释放不介入;政策面、基本面无重大利好不介入。放弃技术底,等待政策底。坚决不参与无价值的技术性超跌行情。4、3000~3300点,等待政策面的明确,否则,仍不介入。5、维持2月份研判 二会结束=上半年行情结束。6、伟大的价值、伟大的收益都是时间所赋予的,牢记:耐心+信心=财富。

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    反弹就是减仓机会

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    我们应该选择点数少,至于盈利应该掌握时间成和每一次盈利多少之间的平衡。而外汇每次交易成本也很高,不宜短期大量交易,想以量取胜不太可能,除非你成功率在80%以上,我想这不太可能,因为你不是神。

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    被自圆其说的新闻分析,搞得太迷糊或者心浮气躁时,找个清静的地方,详细和务实地检查那些短期和长期图形以及其他技术指标,理出一个头绪。

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    天天有人吼抄底 真的不是一天两天就成底哦

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    外汇市场与股票市场一样,经常流传一些消息甚至谣言,有些消息事后证明是真实的,有些消息事后证实只不过是谣传。交易者的做法是,在听到好消息时立即买入,一旦消息得到证实,便立即卖出。反之亦然,当坏消息传出时,立即卖出,一旦消息得到证实,就立即买回。如若交易不够迅速很有可能因行情变动而招至损失。

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    坚定独立研判

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    不参与无价值的技术性超跌行情

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    反弹是日内短线最好的朋友。没有一成不变的行情。只有波动才有较量。

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    不要指望一个方向走,抓住波动才称王

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