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Thread: 市场无好坏 对错在自己

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    Default 市场无好坏 对错在自己

    1. 坦诚自己对市场趋势看走了眼,操作时机不当,或者市场战术不对。只要勇敢地拿出务实态度,我们才有办法找出自己错误在什么地方、怎么错的,下一次要怎么做才能避免再犯。
      2. 期货市场放诸四海皆准的一个真理是:除了一些偶然发生的短暂的异常时期外,市场和价格趋势本身并没有好与坏, 对与错之分。有好坏之分,或者讲明确些,有对错之分的是投机客本身。
      3. 市场似乎变动不拘,漫无目标,随意上下起伏。严守纪律和保持客观的态度比以前还重要,我们都曾经有被市场上搓下洗,带着亏损出场的经验,但是你千万不要被市场惹得火冒三丈或赔得心神不爽。
      4. 对和错的角度来说,交易者必须面对的心理问题之一,是下意识里两种基本人性情绪的交互出现,也就是希望和恐惧此起彼落。
      5. 交易者a,顺着主趋势的方向做多黄豆,而且坐拥利润。第一次回档时,他害怕继续持有原来的仓位,万一市场反转,他就会失去本来的利润。交易者b,逆主趋势放空黄豆,发生不大但不断增加亏损。他会抱着赔钱的仓位,希望主趋势会反转,并希望主趋势会反转,并就此开始下跌。在此同时,市场继续上扬,亏损继续增加。
      6. 这里我们出现的希望和恐惧两种基本情况,可是却是180度迷失方向。交易者a,拥有赚钱的顺势仓,应该抱紧不放才对,希望有利的市场走势能继续给他锦上添花。交易者b,相反的抱着不赚钱的逆势仓位,实在应该平掉才对,因为必须害怕不利的市场走势会继续下去,亏损会继续增加。

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    Default

    7. 交易中有一件关键要素,就是交易者对好市场和坏市场的反映方式。克莱恩(Joe Klein):“任何人都可以是英雄,只要他手笔做多,而市场也急剧上扬,甚至有些日子以涨停收市。可是真正的专业人士的金字招牌,在于他落后时是怎么玩的,市场对他不利,看起来他再也站不稳时,他的一举一动,值得我们注意。”
      8. 专业人士操作真正的考验,在于他们应对坏时机的方式。这也适用于其他任何专业领域。
      9. 许多趾高气昂,不可一世的投机客,他们上对了动能十足的单向市场(通常是上涨市场),积累了庞大的账面财富,一旦市场转而下跌,不但原来的财富转眼成空,还倒贴了老本。真正专业交易者的正字标记,在于他们忍耐的力量――他们能够渡过不可避免的横逆,终而出人头地。
      10. 即使极力保持客观态度和严守纪律,任何一笔操作还是有亏损的可能。操作不顺时感到泄气,是人之常情,应付这种时刻的最好方式,是远离市场,待在场外,直到自己头脑清醒,态度变得光明乐观为止。
      11. 华特兹(Dickson Watts):如果因为自己的期货仓位而晚上睡不好觉,那么就把它们平到能够睡个好觉为止。

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