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Thread: 欧元兑美元仍在历史高点附近

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    Default 欧元兑美元仍在历史高点附近

    纽约汇市周五,美元兑欧元呈区间波动,并保持在历史低点附近。市场开始关注美国定于下周公布的重要就业数据。

    受美国股市收盘下挫影响,美元兑日圆再度走软。外汇投资者抛售更具风险的高收益率货币,买进通常作为避险工具的低收益率货币日圆。

    纽约汇市周五前市,美元兑欧元曾一度遭到抛售,因为之前备受美国联邦储备委员会(Federal Reserve, 简称Fed)关注的通货膨胀指标显示物价状况良好,这可能给Fed留下更多减息的空间。一般来说,Fed减息会刺激经济增长,但对美元不利,因为减息降低了以美元为基础的资产回报。

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    但由于是在周末前夕,同时更加重要的美国3月份非农就业人数将于下周公布,交易员们决定不将欧元兑美元推向历史高点1.5905美元。欧元兑美元在纽约交易时段始终徘徊在1.58美元水平附近。

    一些分析师称,美元下周至少还有机会从就业和其他数据中获得反弹动力。

    纽约汇市周五后市,电子交易系统显示,欧元兑1.5796美元,周四尾盘兑1.5769美元;美元兑99.26日圆,周四尾盘兑99.77日圆;欧元兑156.77日圆,周四尾盘兑157.31日圆;英镑兑1.9923美元,周四尾盘兑2.0036美元;美元兑0.9951瑞士法郎,周四尾盘兑0.9953瑞士法郎。

    周五在低收益率货币日圆上涨之际,澳元等高收益率货币走软。纽约汇市周五尾盘,澳元兑0.9178美元,周四尾盘兑0.9209美元。

    巴西雷亚尔也因投资者的避险情绪而受挫。巴西商品期货交易所(Brazilian Mercantile and Futures Exchange),美元在现货合约交易中收于1.744巴西雷亚尔,周四收于1.737巴西雷亚尔。

    由于石油是加拿大的重要出口产品,国际油价的温和下跌导致加元兑美元大幅走低。周五尾盘,美元兑1.0205加元,周四尾盘兑1.0191加元。

    其他货币方面,周五英镑的表现尤其不佳。由于前夜公布的经济数据疲软,市场确信英国央行(Bank of England)将于下个月减息。

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    从长期来看,美国经济会有一个很长的困难期,加上下个月降息,而特里谢的言辞非常强硬,欧元对美元还有上涨空间,如果下周的经济数据出来后美元反弹的话,那正好给了一个建立欧元对美元上涨仓位的机会,我从事美股交易的时候发现一个问题,就是每次美股到了前期的低点,看着就是要破掉继续下行的时候,美国都会以各种方式救市,要么紧急降息,要么说临时注入资金,要么就是经济数据意外的好。等股市上升一点以后,接着就爆出一些负面数据。究竟是巧合还是怎么回事就不知道了

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