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Thread: 浅谈技术分析

  1. #1
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    Default 浅谈技术分析

    目前技术分析方法有两种:模型分析和图表分析。
    (1)模型分析是利用数据去构造一个模型,以此说明一个变量通过什么途径影响另一变量的,从而考察一个变量是否会影响另一个变量。
    例如:你对吸烟有害健康这个问题感兴趣,你就要建一个模型,对吸烟如何影响肺功能、导致人体新陈代谢变化的数据进行研究,对吸烟有害健康的过程进行分析。
    此分析方法用在外汇分析上的优点是:能够了解外汇走势的全过程(或影响外汇波动的因素),分析结果科学准确。缺点是:很难建立起这种模型结构,对大多数投资者来讲无操作性可言。
    (2)图表分析认为,市场行为包容消化一切、价格以趋势方式演变、历史会重演。
    此分析方法用在外汇分析上的优点是:简单易学,对大多数投资者来讲具有可操作性。缺点是:用的人多了以后,图表分析结果的有效性会降低。
    总结:模型分析适合于投资银行;图表分析适用于中小投资者。
    我的个人观点:越简单的也是越实用的。

  2. #2
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    Default

    对大多数投资者来讲具有可操作性

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    Default

    具有可操作性

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    Default

    已经很深奥了

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    Default

    外汇分析上一定要做一个追随趋势者

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    Default

    模型建立错了时,会怎样?

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