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Thread: 各种技术形态分析十九

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    Default 各种技术形态分析十九

    技术形态跳空形态

      跳空在日语中叫窗口,英语是gap,是指汇率在快速波动时产生的曲线的最低价与曲线的最高价之间有断层。有人说跳空迟早会填补的,这并非是绝对的,需要从图形上区别对待:有的跳空具有技术意义,有的则很一般,这要从跳空的部位、大小来判断市场趋势之强弱和真假之突破。

      跳空是判断趋势的有力依据。

      (1)跳空的形态:

      (a)普通性跳空对预测趋势无太大帮助,可以忽略它。因它是在交易量极少的情况下或是在波幅窄时所产生的。

       (b)突破性跳空一般发生在交易量大时或重要价位被突破后或新的大波动之初。当汇率跳空口大并远离原价位时,则显示其真正的突破开始了,所以跳空口越大将来的波动越激烈。

       ?持续性跳空连续发生2次以上的反映市场以中等交易量在顺利的发展。在上升(或下降)趋势中,这些跳空在今后市场的调整时将成为支持(抵抗)区。因为此跳空群一般出现在整个趋势的中间,所以可利用沿着该涨(或跌)的方向在未来上升(或下降)的幅度中将翻一番的规律来进行交易。

       (d)消耗性跳空也叫衰歇跳空,一般出现在趋势的尾声,是急速上升(或下降)的回光返照,所以在随后的市场将出现转折。该跳空往往是在(a)(b)跳空出现之后,并且当被填补之时,就是趋势将衰歇之日,这时应积极采取措施避免损失。

       (2)运用法则:

       (a)消耗性跳空和普通性跳空在短期内有可能被填补,而突破性跳空和持续性跳空就有可能不被填补,所以分析突破性和持续性跳空比较有意义。

       (b)突破性跳空出现后会不会马上被填补可以从交易量的变化来判断:在突破性跳空形成之前,如交易量大,但形成之后交易量反而减少时,快速填补该跳空的机会只有一半;在突破性跳空形成之后,如交易量大并且持续,则短期填补该跳空的可能性将会降低。

       ?消耗性跳空的出现一般伴随着的是交易量最大(或是第二天出现)。但当交易量减少时,则显示市场的交易(多投或空投)力量已充分的释放并且开始衰歇,这时价格可能会朝相反的方向波动。

       (d)在上升或下降的过程中,跳空出现的越多,越显示其趋势接近结尾,这时投资者们应该谨慎交易。

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    跳空的支撑阻挡实际意义是什么?为什么会出现跳空?

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    成为师的人,可以将简单变复杂,然后,从复杂里能够提炼出简单。

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    突破性跳空和持续性跳空就有可能不被填补

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    在技术指标中RSI(相对强弱指标)是较常见用的判断顶部与底部的指标。相对强弱指标RSI(Rela tiveStrengthI- ndex)是同KD指标齐名的常用技术指标。RSI从一特定的时期内价格的变动情况,推测价格未来的变动方 向,并根据价格涨跌幅度显示市场的强弱。该指标对底与顶的判断比较准确。常见的情况是,当汇价与RSI处于高位,形成一峰比一峰低的两个峰时,汇价却对应的是一峰比一峰高,这 叫顶背离。汇价这一涨是最后的衰竭动作,这是比较强烈的卖出信号。与这种情况相反的是底背离。RSI在低位 形成两个依次上升的谷底,而汇价还在下降,这是最后一跌或者说是接近最后一跌,是可以开始建仓 的信号。在技术指标中,除RSI指标对汇价的顶部与底部有判断作用以外,其他指标也具有判断顶部与 底部的作用

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    跳空在短期内有可能被填补

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    如果价格趋势一直向下,走了好长一段时间,那么当价格逆势而行时,非常可能只是回调或暂时的反向运动。

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