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Thread: 建立正确的思维模式

  1. #1
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    Default 建立正确的思维模式

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    许多交易者可能也多少知道些盈利的因素,但还没有形成一套完整的思维模式,没有将这些零散的因素有效地组合起来,让它们形成一个高效运作的模型,因此,在交易中往往不能获得持续的利润,感觉运气时好时坏,心里没底,或者是不能形成良好的习惯,交易靠灵感和临场发挥,这样的交易人为的干扰因素太多,系统的稳定性差。

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      在整个外汇市场中,存在着大量的程序化交易,也就是计算机自动化的交易,这种方法被许多大型银行和机构所采用,他们在对市场进行认真分析研究的基础上制定了自己的交易计划,并且将许多交易指令输入计算机中,当市场价格满足了这些指令的出发条件时,交易立即被自动执行,这样做有两个好处,一是能够在的一时间进行交易,二是能严格地执行交易计划,排除交易者面对即时行情时心理因素对临场判断所带来的负面影响。



      大家可能已经注意到了,当汇价突破某些关键性的阻力位或支撑位后,价格波动十分剧烈,数分钟内汇价会涨落40-50点,其中相当大的原因是程序化的交易所引起的。



      我们可以模拟这种程序化交易的思考判断和决策过程,依据市场客观地进行思维和交易,我把这种思维称为IfThen模式。



      这种思维模式的核心是建立在市场永远是正确的这一理念的基础上的,它完全排除了人为因素对决策过程的干扰,尽可能地从客观的角度看市场,以平和的心态来进行决策,它并没有抹杀决策者的主观能动性,我们依然可以尽情地发挥自己的特长,专心研究市场的阻力位、支撑位、目标位、止损和止赢位,这些位置的预测准确率可以提高系统的稳定性;它包容了我们所可能犯的错误,并对可能的失误采取了必要的防范措施,它克服了人性中贪婪和恐惧的两大弱点,尽可能地保证我们利益的最大化,使我们的盈利能够可靠和持续

  2. #2
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    Default

    依据市场客观地进行思维和交易

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