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Thread: 双顶和双底

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    Default 双顶和双底

    从外汇技术图表来看,一个升浪,由a点出发,涨至b点为顶峰,回头跌至c点,卷土重来又上至b点差不多的价位d点,形成另一个顶峰。跟着就摔下来,跌破a点与c点拉成延长的颈线,成为一个跌势的序幕。这种走势形态,因为有两个价位相近的顶,所以一般称之为双顶。 又因其图形与英文字母m相似,故又叫m顶。相反,在下跌势的末期出现双底的,就叫w底。m顶是强烈的下跌信号,w底是可靠的上升征兆。

    为什么说双顶是强烈的下跌信号呢?因为当第一个顶形成而回跌的过程中,肯定是有大量卖盘进场才使行情下挫,在第一个顶的区域的买盘已被套牢。当价位回升至和第一个顶差不多的价位时,如果市场买气够旺盛的话,应该就飞越顶峰,造成一浪高一浪的局面。然而,第二波的升势却未能越雷池半步,大有云横秦岭家何在,雪拥蓝关马不前之叹,急转直下形成第二个顶。很明显,这一波升势已是强弩之末,空军大举出动,狂轰滥炸。

    而更重要的是,原先在第一个顶附近被套牢的买家本身心有余悸,觉得第二波反弹只不过是回光返照,一见价位接近,便争相出脱,急急如漏网之鱼。因此,双顶的形成,反映了普遍不敢看好后市的市场心理,是买家人心虚怯的表现。

    特别是跌破颈线后,整个下降走势便可以确认。

    相反的情况下,双底就是一个上升势的坚实基础。当第二个底形成时,显示大市已找到支持点,买家放手进货,在第一个底卖出的人以亏少当赢的心态急于补仓,走势失去了一浪低一浪的原动力,止跌回升理所当然。

    有时双顶雏形刚形成,行情也会有反复,掉头再上,演变成三次叩关。如果又不破上两次高价,便蜕变成三次到顶更是空头出击的黄金机会。但无论趁双顶做空头或趁双底做多头,都要下好止损盘。万一风云突变,穿顶破底就认赔,这就叫做小心驶得万年船

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    Default

    如果你在市场上领先一筹,而且所有的消息都好得难以置信,

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