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Thread: 满仓操作风险有多大

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    Default 满仓操作风险有多大

    很多期货投资者感觉期货市场的杠杆作用非常好,资金使用的效率放大15-20%倍。但是要考虑风险性,很多投资者感觉这个杠杆不用白不用,满仓操作,尤其在我认识的河南的期货投资者中这种思想的人最多,最后的结果,当然是亏的可能性最大的。

    下面我们举例看看。

    这里是3种不同获胜率的交易体系、分析方法,按照不同资金分割份数出现亏损的可能性。
    、获胜率55%

    满仓操作亏损的可能性为81.82%,当资金分成10份时亏损的可能性为13.44%

    2、获胜率60%

    满仓操作亏损的可能性为66.67%,当资金分成10份时亏损的可能性为1.73%,当资金分成7份后风险下降明、获胜率

    满仓操作亏损的可能生为42.86%,当资金分成10份时亏损的可能性为0.02%,当资金分成4份后风险下降明显减缓,继续将资金细分的意义不大了。

      获胜率55%

    资金份数 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

    亏损概率% 81.82/66.64/54.77/44.81/36.66/30.00/24.54/20.08/16.43/13.44

      获胜率60%

    资金份数 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

      亏损概率% 66.67/44.44/29.63/19.75/13.17/8.78/5.85/3.90/2.60/1.73

      获胜率70%

    资金份数 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

    亏损概率% 42.86/18.37/7.87/3.37/1.45/0.62/0.27/0.11/0.05/0.02显减缓,继续将资金细分的意义就不大了。

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    从上面这3个表格中,投资者可以很清晰的看到,虽然你的交易体系、分析方法占有获胜的优势,但是如果不管理好交易量头寸的大小,亏损的可能性还是很高的,由此可见满仓操作的风险是多么的在。另外,这里从数学的角度量化地向投资者充分说明了将资金分散投资的确能提高获胜机会。

    在高科技待业,也是高风险回报,和期货、股票、外汇市场很像,高科技风险投资者都是分散投资,遍地撒网的。日本著名的“软银公司”孙正义,他就是大量地分散投资到许多的网络公司,数量有上千家,其中yahoo暴涨,使他获利了巨额的利润,在2000年资产上升到1000亿美元,一度成为世界首富。最好的资金操作模式:分三次进场,获利后平仓一半,已经赚回成本后,再等待更多额外的利润。这时你的心态就非常的好,就不怕坐不住而失去赚大钱的机会了。

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    吃过满仓的亏,不认不行哦,还得好好学习

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    不会控制仓位是要吃大亏的!

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    我几次满仓操做都一直爆仓,真可怕.

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    三分法就行了!分的太多也麻烦!

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    我前后只炒了两周,就亏了几百美元,这学费交得......................

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    以我可能要分得更细了.

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    时机大好时,半仓出击.

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    希望能赚上一大笔...............

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    哈!你分成一元元的效果可能更好呀!

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    这机会可能要等是上帝来送给我了...............

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    标准的分不了那么细娄.

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    什么呀!不要贪,几百美元应很快就回来的!

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    这会空u/j去!!

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