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Thread: USD/JPY - Dollar Yen

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    Default USD/JPY - Dollar Yen

    Short term (Intraday)
    102,99. USD JPY broke 102,25 resistance. USD JPY is in a consolidation after the last bullish movement. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are deviated. ForexTrend daily (Mataf Trend Indicator) is in a bearish configuration. 1H ForexSto (Modified Stochastic) indicate a bullish pressure on USD JPY. 4H ForexSto (Modified Stochastic) crosses and gives a positive signal. The price should find a resistance below 103,20 / 103,50. The consolidation should continue. We won't take a position. The risk/reward ratio is too high to take a position..
    Resistances
    103,20 - 103,50
    Supports
    102,80 - 102,25

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    In Profit richtrader's Avatar
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    Default

    Comment: Consolidating neatly above Friday's low at 101.40 and no longer oversold. For today expect more of the same. Below 101.40 should trigger a drop to 101.25 (1999 low) then a rather scary move to 100.00.

    Strategy: Sell at 103.00, adding to 103.50; stop above 103.75. Add to shorts on a sustained break below 12.50 for 101.50/101.25 taking profits and standing aside if possible.

    Direction of Trade: →↘

    Chart Levels:

    Support Resistance
    102.83 103.25
    102.60 103.60*
    102.00 103.75
    101.40** 104.20
    101.25*** 104.50
    Comment: Consolidating neatly above Friday's low at 101.40 and no longer oversold. For today expect more of the same. Below 101.40 should trigger a drop to 101.25 (1999 low) then a rather scary move to 100.00.

    Strategy: Sell at 103.00, adding to 103.50; stop above 103.75. Add to shorts on a sustained break below 12.50 for 101.50/101.25 taking profits and standing aside if possible.

    Direction of Trade: →↘

    Chart Levels:

    Support Resistance
    102.83 103.25
    102.60 103.60*
    102.00 103.75
    101.40** 104.20
    101.25*** 104.50

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    Default

    Today 18/03/2008

    USD-JPY97.32. Current fall is near an end of wave around 94.35 - 97.12 zone, a rally should then procede to above 98.21 or 99.03. Fall below 94.03 would cancel this scenario.

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    Default Weekly analyses of usd/gpy

    Having been on the offensive for the past four weeks, USDJPY saw a halt in that weakness after hitting its lowest price since Mar'1995 at 95.75.The mentioned stop in the current decline has seen the pair forming a hammer candle pattern, a bottom reversal signal. If a follow through to the upside occurs, the 100.00 level, its psycho resistance will come in as the initial target where a break will open up upside risk towards the 101.68/86 zone, its Nov'04/Jan'05 lows followed by its Mar'05 low at 103.66 and next its May'05 low at 104.20.Its earlier mentioned strong psycho resistance at 100.00 is expected reverse roles and provide resistance ahead of the other levels mentioned above. On the downside, reversing the past week's upside gains will invalidate the efficacy of the said hammer candle pattern and bring the resumption of its medium term weakness towards its 1.272 Fib Ext at 95.34 and then its 1.618 Fib Ext. at 87.51.On the whole, the pair remains pressured to the downside in both the medium and longer term despite current recovery effort.

    Directional Bias:

    Nearer Term -Mixed
    Short Term -Bearish
    Medium Term -Bearish
    Performance in %:

    Past Week: +0.54%
    Past Month: -2.32%
    Past Quarter: -2.67%
    Year-To-Date: -10.88%
    Weekly Range:

    High -100.45
    Low -95.75
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    Default

    Resistance levels for the currency couple USD/JPY are expected at today's top 102.95, followed by the tops from 11 and 5 March respectively at 103.70 and 104.30. Following is a very strong resistance at 105.00, where the broken bottom from 23 January is, after which the currency couple sharply descended.

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    Default

    USD-JPY Market should pop up towards 105.31 or 106.18 this bullish scenario would be damaged if 103.76 - 103.73 zone is broken, a severe break down could then occur.

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    news today moving the pairs haphazardly so be aware of it

    uJ at 105.07 at the moment
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    Default

    It's at 108.20 now, after touching 108.40
    will it back down ? to where ?

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    USD-JPY today up? I am don't know...

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    BOJ Target Rate: we are waiting 0,50% ???

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    Default

    It should trade higher to 107.83 while 106.94 or 106.69 offers support. Stop loss below 106.44 zone.

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    Default

    There is bearish potential for a fall to 107.01 while 107.5 - 107.65 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 107.65 or 107.80 is expected.

  13. #13
    bisaddkunlevics
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    Default

    A break of 99.35 will cause longterm bearish senario towards 97.25(AT 12.00PM,GMT +1)

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