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Thread: 马加斯的故事:刻骨铭心的战役

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    Default 马加斯的故事:刻骨铭心的战役

    马加斯经过多次失败经历以后,终于踏上成功之路,资金由七百美元积聚到一万二千美元。由于对投机夹板买卖成功,马加斯认为货源短缺现象将影响木材市场出现缺货上升的市场。在胜利冲昏头脑的情况下,马加斯忘记了投机秫米的教训,再次孤注一掷,连本带利买入木材合约。马加斯在一百三十美元的水平购入木材合约,但美国政府开始发现夹板市场的越轨表现,决定不让夹板升越,冻结价格的历史重演。在马加斯购入木材合约的第二天,政府官员宣布将会严厉惩罚炒高木材的投机商木材期货价格应声下跌至117.00美元,马加斯户口净值亦瀑泻至四千美元。连续两周之内政府官员不断重复管制物价的决心,而马加斯户口谨可维持持仓的最底水平,与被迫斩仓价位紧相隔一线。
      两个星期之内马加斯寝食不安,惶惶不可终日,随时随刻预备放弃投降,马加斯心情固然紧张。另一方面为自己愚蠢的买卖而感到懊悔。最后,幸运之神降临,马加斯坚持抗战到底的精神终于反败为胜,政府管制物价的毅力未能贯彻始终,木材价格开始回升,平仓计算,户口净值增值至二万四千美元。
      受到木材战役的教训,马加斯发誓永不再重蹈覆辙,孤注一掷。功力渐进,投机渐入境佳境。1973年户口节余进一步上升到64000美元新高峰。1973年美国宣布放弃价格管制计划,美元汇率如水就下,世界进入疯狂的通货膨胀年代。马加斯投机工夫渐入佳境,在配合前所未有的一面倒时势,如鱼得水,在全面上升的市势中成为长胜将军。
      在一片牛气冲天的期货市场,马加斯无意中犯了一个重大的错误,有风时不懂使尽帆。当时大豆期货,由每蒲式耳美金3员2角五仙暴升至12美元。马加斯在升市之中,一时冲动将所有好仓套现,一相情愿的希望在大豆出现回吐时再度买入,忘记了顺势买卖的格言。马加斯的师傅锡高达一向认为除非证实市势已经逆转,否则不可随便离开市场,赢钱必须赢到尽头。平仓之后马加斯目睹大豆连续十二日涨停板,目瞪口呆,不知所措,每日回到公司,都要忍受锡高达继续享受大豆涨停板的利润,而自己则要坐冷板凳的痛苦。事实上上班变成了一种难以忍受的折磨,给予马加斯一个刻骨铭心的教训。
      马加斯的期货户口节余,直线上升,由700美元开始进至12000美元,偶不慎跌回4000美元,其后再增加到24000美元,1973年冲向64000美元,进而越上十万美元大关,足够保证马加斯成为棉花市场出市买卖的基本条件。在棉花期货出市买卖的经验,令马加斯认识到即市图的重要性,可以在低风险的情形下谋取利润。

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    看来过去的10万美元是很值钱的
    哈哈

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    经验的重要性

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