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Thread: 利率补偿可提高外汇投资绩效

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    Default 利率补偿可提高外汇投资绩效

    如果对市场的结构有自己的理解,那么坚持自己的意见通常比接受市场一致的观点更好
    和所有金融市场一样,在外汇市场上保持长久稳定的赢利是不少投资者的心愿。笔者认为普通投资者也可以用一些简单的办法或思路提高投资绩效。
    第一、保持独立的思考。外汇市场是一个全球投资者博弈的市场,对于投资者来说至少应保持适当的独立思考才可能获得比其他投资者好的成绩,而过分依赖机构的预测未必可以取得持续的好业绩。对于一些已经在外汇市场搏杀多年的投资者,如果已经对市场的结构有自己的理解,那么坚持自己的意见通常比接受市场一致的观点更好。
    第二、多争取利率补偿。研究表明,商品交易(比如炒金)投资者长期赢利的比例最少,大约不到5%,低于其他金融市场的比例。商品交易投资者难以长期赢利的一个重要原因是因为其投资资金难以获得利息的补偿。因此,投资者在操作上不仅要关注汇率的涨跌,更要把利率高低作为投资决策的一个重要参考。
    第三、大额投资,适当保险。至今仍旧有少量投资者持有102水位的日元,被套将近2000点。由于日元利率极低,在被套的几年,投资者几乎没有获得什么利息收益的补偿。此外,投资者在进行投资决策的时候,如果投资资金庞大,在考虑赢利可能的同时,还是要考虑投资失败的应对措施。比如设置停损指令,限制亏损规模。或者依据自己的投资思路,选择期限合适的一定数量与手中货币方向相反的期权来对冲风险,这样做虽然提高了投资成本,但是也限制了期权有效期限内整个投资组合的亏损规模。

  2. #2
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    Default

    外汇市场是一个全球投资者博弈的市场

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    Default

    投资者长期赢利的比例最少

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