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Thread: 美元早盘持稳 Fed会后声明出炉前市况审慎

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    Default 美元早盘持稳 Fed会后声明出炉前市况审慎

      《新兴市场》杂志引述周小川的谈话指出,许多人称中国的外汇储备(已经)够多了,我们无意进一步积聚外汇储备。这番谈话在纽约盘初传出,打压了美元。

      瑞士银行外汇分析师AshleyDavies表示,我从未听说人民银行称他们有意积聚外汇储备。据此来看,我认为周小川的谈话并非真的利多或利空美元。

      日本金融市场今日因春分节休市,亚洲市场交投相当清淡。

      美元兑日圆报117.30,自周二尾盘的116.90附近的低点走升。美元周二高点在118.01日圆附近。

      欧元兑日圆报156.10。欧元兑美元报1.3315,与海外市场水准相去不远,但高于周二低点1.3268。

      加元兑美元报1.1620加元,略低于周二触及的三周高点1.1595。周二加拿大公布的通膨数据较预期强劲,加元是兑美元上涨最多的货币之一。

      亚洲交易商正思索周小川的讲话,以求更清楚他的真意。

      虽然周的讲话引发一波美元卖盘,特别是兑日圆,很可能这只是被误解了。中国无法停止累积外汇储备,Rabobank的JanLambregts在一报告中指出。

      中国为免人民币兑美元升逾窄幅的交易区间,积极买进外币,这令中国本已是世界最多的外汇储备继续快速增加。

      分析师指出,中国可能仍将继续增加外汇储备。中国正计划成立新的投资机构,以管理约2,000亿美元的资产,希望藉扩大投资领域来提升回报。

      渣打银行北亚外汇交易主管Gerrard Katz表示,我们认为周小川是说中国不会刻意增加外汇储备,但这可能是随着政策产生的结果。

      Katz称,他们一直澄清,称新设立的机构不会抛售美元。

      关注FED会议结果

      FED将在周三结束两日政策会议,不过美元看来主要是反映周小川的谈话。

      FED料将维持利率于5.25%不变,但若有提及近来股市重挫或通膨放缓,则可能进一步打压美元。

      美股上涨暗示市场预期FED将持温和立场。道琼工业指数<。DJI>周二上涨0.5%,并较上周的低点上升近3%,不过部分分析师称,FED的声明可能出人意表。

      FOMC或许不会像市场所期望般温和,瑞银的Davies表示。

      在周四日本政府公布2006年全国地价调查结果前,日圆不太可能表现太差。

      日央行总裁福井俊彦周二表示,地价加快上涨;土地成本升高及汇率等因素,可能会影响货币政策。

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    Default

    Cr指标的取值低于90时,买入一般较为安全

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    Default

    关注fed会议结果

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