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Thread: 正确的入市是成功的85%谈入市

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    Default 正确的入市是成功的85%谈入市

    任何一笔完整的交易,都由入市、持仓和离市三部分组成。于是错误无处不在,在每一个阶段都和操作者形影不离。三者中,以入市最容易,持仓最困难,离市最关键。最容易的地方也最容易犯错误,经验表明,入市是出现错误最多的地方。从这个角度,我认为正确的入市是成功的85%。
    每一个外汇市场的投资者,都可以利用外汇市场24小时循环交易的优势,在交易的任何时间、任何地点、任何价位、选择任何币种进入市场。而价位的不断跳动,更像鱼钩上的肥美诱饵,不断刺激、挑逗着投资者的情绪、贪婪和冲动。不经过严格的训练,没有多少人能够抵抗这种刺激和诱惑,对在自己面前不断晃动的诱饵视而不见;相反,绝大多数人都会奋不顾身的冲进去,先咬住饵再说,而对于藏在饵里的钩,则无暇顾及。但能够吃掉饵同时吐出钩来的鱼又有多少呢?于是伴随着投资者的每一次冲动入市、随意入市、情绪化入市、赌博性入市,就诞生了洋洋大观的错误。
    而一旦入市错误,随后往往会衍生一系列的错误。以我最近操作的这笔欧日多单为例,只是因为贪图做一个反弹,就匆忙入市,结果入市价位不好,因为入市价位不太好,止损就很难设,因为入市价位不好,盈亏比就不合适,因为盈亏比不合适,对于出现的利润就不满足,于是有机会也不平仓,结果机会稍纵及逝,又因为止损难摆,最终选择把止损放宽,虽然赢得了时间,但处置不力仍然是眼睁睁看着打掉止损。虽然触及止损前我已经非常清楚必然被止损,我依然决定接受市场对我错误的惩罚,而不是即时平仓以减少几十点的损失,以便事后赞叹自己是多么英明减少了损失;对我而言,为自己入市的错误支付代价从而记住自己的错误,比少损失一些金钱更有价值。
    在18400放空英镑的操作则是一个正面的例子。因为入市正确,止损位可以清晰明确的放在18420,目标位则看得远一点,放在18120,以14:1的盈亏比博取280点利润,18300再进行加码操作,虽然中途被止盈离场,但明显的结果是操作中犯错误的机会大大减少,面临的两难困境也大大减少,从而比较顺利的从正确开始,以正确结束。
    我的结论是,就操作而言,正确的入市是成功的85%。正确的开始更容易让操作者正确的结束一次操作,而错误的开始则很难回到正确的轨道,从而衍生更多的错误。因此入市之前,应该慎之又慎。
    入市最容易,持仓最困难,离市最关键。容易的事陷阱多,困难的事利润多,关键的事是非多。天上掉馅饼往往是骗局,困难往往是给勇者准备的机会,如何面对是非则往往是智者有别于大众的根本。对一个投机者而言,要做的是慎于入市,敢于持仓,淡于离市。
    回到市场,欧币到达预计的回调区间,中线做多欧币的计划再次进入我们的思考范围。我们等待市场给出入市的信号。

  2. #2
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    任何一笔完整的交易,都由入市、持仓和离市三部分组成

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    Default

    操作起来就难了啊!!!

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