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Thread: 市场聚焦欧英澳利率决议

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    Default 市场聚焦欧英澳利率决议

      欧元兑美元周一较纽约收盘水准上升0.3%,最高至1.4850美元。欧元兑美元上周五曾触及两个月高点1.4956美元,仅略低于去年11月创下的历史高位1.4968美元。此前因美国供应管理协会(ism)制造业指数意外反弹,抵消美国非农就业人数四年半以来首次减少的冲击,令欧元兑美元上周五自纪录高点附近回落,但受亚洲股市劲扬,利差交易再度活跃,令高收益货币欧元获得支撑。

      英镑兑美元周一跳升近0.8%最高至1.9777美元,这主要是因为投资者进行获利了结,回补部分英镑空头头寸,同时利差交易复燃也令高收益货币英镑获得支撑。但英镑的上涨动力明显不足,因为本周英国央行几乎肯定会降息0.25个百分点至5.25%,而欧洲央行则可能在周四的会议上维持利率于4%不变。

      美元兑日元呈现震荡上扬的走势,盘中一度升至106.98,这主要是因为日经指数收高2.7%,中国沪综指跳涨逾7%。而股市走势近期一直是汇率的主要影响因素,股市的回暖令投资者恢复利差交易,使得低息货币日元受到抛压。亚洲交投清淡,许多投资者本周因农历新年而离场。

      澳元兑美元周一上涨近0.8%,触及去年11月14日以来的三个月高位0.9075,主要是因为周一公布的数据显示,澳洲通胀年率1月加速至20个月高点,2007年房价则写下两位数字的成长率,使投资者对澳洲央行周二升息的预期升温;同时,在股市回暖的情况下,澳元也受到利差交易再度活跃的支撑。

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    高收益货币欧元获得支撑,利差交易再度活跃

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    美元兑日元呈现震荡上扬的走势

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    低息货币 日元受到抛压

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    英國:英國5月通脹升至16年高點3.3%,遠高于英國央行2%的目标,且将導緻英國央行行長緻信解釋。英 國央行行長金恩表示通脹可能在08年下半年加速升至4%以上,但他同時指出,鑒于經濟增長和通脹的背離走勢 ,利率前景依然不确定

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