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Thread: 《独家新闻》日央行审议委员水野温氏称,降息无助于支撑日本经济

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    Default 《独家新闻》日央行审议委员水野温氏称,降息无助于支撑日本经济

    属强硬派的日本央行审议委员水野温氏周五表示,未来几个月日本经济将维持停滞,但降息并不会替经济带来多少支撑.水野温氏最近才放弃支持升息的立场./ |5 U5 X2 S6 f

    水野温氏指出,如果央行要讨论降息的举措,就必须彻底检视其副作用.他并强调目前利率处于0.5%的货币环境仍十分宽松.

    在经历十年的超低利率政策後,日本经济对利率的敏感度变低."水野温氏表示.直到11月他仍是央行审议委员会中,唯一投票呼吁升息的委员.

    因此,调降指标利率以对经济提供额外支撑的作用不大."他在专访中告诉路透.

    直到去年夏天,外界仍认为央行升息至0.75%已是十拿九稳的事,但市场反映现在显示,鉴于美国经济衰退可能损及全球成长的疑虑,日本今年降息机率为50%.


    水野温氏曾是债市策略师.他对经济前景看法审慎,称尽管并未显露衰退端倪,但未来两三个月日本经济料维持迟滞.FXCNS(*********- 全球中文推广站点), 水野温氏表示,受去年6月建筑法规趋严的影响,日本房市投资跌幅较预期剧烈,再加上原物料成本上涨,因而更有必要检视日本是否还是正向的景气循环.

    他指出,这类国内风险因子,而非国外发展,正是他12月决定不再持自7月以来即追求的升息立场之背景.水野温氏指出,政策方向应该仍是将利率朝正常水准调升,而非降息.他并表示,如果未来几个月的数据显示,经济恢复逐步扩张步调的机率升高,他将考虑升息的必要.4 ~- O:


    水野温氏还表示,在引导货币政策时,有理由密切关注股汇市,因为如果市场持续剧烈波动,可能会损及信心并影响经济.


    但他指出,单是市场波动并不会导致货币政策的转向.水野温氏强调,日本央行在做出利率决议时,将广泛考量市场动向对经济的影响.(完)

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    水野温氏曾是债市策略师.他对经济前景看法审慎

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