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Thread: 加央行强调最新政策报告与美国背离

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    Default 加央行强调最新政策报告与美国背离

    加央行24日公布的最新货币政策报告更像是一场央行独立宣言。

    加央行在声明中似乎暗示,加拿大和美国经济条件存在明显分歧或称脱钩,加央行和美联储2008年政策路线也会相应不同。

    如市场预期,加央行在24日最新报告中下调经济增长和通胀预期,因加央行已在22日利率声明中预示美国2008年经济前景现在已较以前明显减弱。

    加央行将2008年加拿大经济增长从此前的2.3%下调至1.8%,但将2009年经济增长预期从2.5%上调至2.8%。而对于美国,加央行预计该国2008年经济增长将为1.4%,2009年将为2.5%。

    据加央行称,美国经济疲软向加拿大传导的主要机制继续维持在贸易方面,明显疲软的净出口迫使提高对GDP增长的征税,直到美国经济如预期在2009年复苏。

    加央行称,受与07年10月以来商品价格上涨相关的持续收入增长、实际收入和信贷的强劲增长以及强大的劳动市场等因素支撑,加拿大国内需求预计仍明显具有弹性。

    然而加央行确实承认,通胀压力将在较长一段时间降至低于或约相当于央行2%的目标水平。

    这尤其为加央行在未来几个月进一步减息提供了回旋余地,因23日最新政策报告重申了加央行22日发表的短期内可能有必要进一步实施货币刺激政策的主张。

    但最新报告和加拿大央行行长道奇(David Dodge)随后声明似乎校正并打消加央行将遵循美联储做法减息的预期。

    道奇宣称,加拿大目前经济局势为加拿大央行政策提供了依据。他强调,加央行仍倾向于以相对较小的幅度逐步调整利率,而不会像美国采取戏剧性行动。

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    Default

    加央行在声明中似乎暗示,加拿大和美国经济条件存在明显分歧

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