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Thread: 外汇盈利重在大势

  1. #1
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    Default 外汇盈利重在大势

    外汇盈利重在大势
      国际汇市起伏跌宕,外汇价格的变化受多重因素的影响,比如一国的经济基本面的优劣、短期国际局势的变化和突发事件、市场上资金流向和技术分析的结果等。但是作为普通投资者很难在每天成千上万条消息中寻找到对汇市有影响的消息,而由于一些投资者对技术分析的掌握参差不齐,往往出现错判的情况。

      那么要进行外汇投资,是不是存在有效的方法呢?在这里,笔者向大家介绍一种方法就是把握大势,忽略日常的波动。

      把握大势指的是抓住货币波动中的行情。一般情况下外汇汇率在一段时间里振荡都比较小,如果投资者过分注重于短线的频繁进出,因思维定势的关系,可能错过大行情。通过观察与统计,每年国际外汇市场总会有几次涨(跌)幅超过4%以上的振荡。如果投资者能在这几次行情中稳稳地拿住升值货币或抛空贬值货币,毫无疑问,他将在外汇投资中盈利。

      那么如何才能把握住每年仅有的几次行情呢?笔者认为,对一段时间中基本面和技术面分析后得出同向的结论,同时市场的看法支持该结论时,往往产生大行情的机会会大大提高,这时尽早地介入将会令投资者获益匪浅。

      比如此次美元兑所有币种均出现大跌,在此之前,美联储主席的讲话成为市场关注的焦点,市场普遍认为他的讲话将会比较保守,对美国经济复苏信心不足,事实果不其然。格老认为,商业投资目前软弱无力,没有回复的迹象,而这恰恰是今后美国经济恢复的关键所在。另外,失业率的高涨也是美联储关注的重点问题。至此市场对美国经济复苏进程将减缓深信不疑,引起美元大跌。

      看看这期间的经济数据:美国3月新屋开工下降7.8%,4月头两周的零售销售分别下降0.6%和0.7%,4月消费者信心下降,4月失业率高达6%,为七年半最高。数据的确显示出经济减缓的迹象。

      从技术上看,美元在经过近1个月的整理后终于在4月17日破位,技术上向下突破成立,表明美元将再有一段下跌过程,从4月17日至今,美元最多下跌达3.7%。如果外汇投资者在4月17日经过上述基本面、技术面和市场表现的分析后抛出美元的话,相信获利已经不少了。

  2. #2
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    Default

    不要过分自信——它会成为你最大的仇敌。

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    Default

    轻仓跟随大势,盈利的机会就大大的增加了.

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