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Thread: 最简单、实用的判断"势"的方法

  1. #1
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    Default 最简单、实用的判断势的方法

    抛弃所有复杂的技术指标与公式吧,
    回归到价格本身的高低变化来,即可判断势的方向与强弱程度。
    只要有三个要素足矣:

    收盘价、最高价、最低价。

    它们之间的位置关系说明了一切。
    (汇市的开盘价一般连着上日的收盘价,所以不用也罢)。

    以日线图为例,周线、月线同样适用。

    何谓涨势?
    收盘价比昨日最高价高就是涨势。
    高得越离谱表示涨势越强(你可以细分为超强势与一般强势)。
    转化为交易策略就是只考虑买进,不考虑卖出,越强越买。

    何谓跌势?
    收盘价比昨日最低价低就是跌势。
    低得越离谱表示跌势越弱(你可以细分为超弱势与一般弱势)。
    转化为交易策略就是只考虑卖出,不考虑买进,越弱越卖。
    (对不起,为了加深印象,罗嗦一些也无妨,呵呵)

    何谓盘整势?
    收盘价处于昨日最高价与最低价之间就是盘整势。
    盘整的幅度越宽越难以突破,维持的时间也越长。
    转化为交易策略就是不追买、也不追卖,低买高卖就行了。

    看!这不简单吗?简单的就是实用的!
    如果一个交易者连这个简单的涨跌现象都视而不见的话,
    那他必定是沉浸在主观世界里涨势卖出、跌势买进。
    这样的现象我们还见得少吗?

    那些macd、kd、rsi、波浪、通道等等花里胡哨的东西有什么用?(哎哟,挨了几板砖)
    我实在找不到它们与做生意、做买卖有什么联系,
    它们只会让人们离市场越来越远。

    有人说,市况远比你说的要复杂呀,
    有时明明看着是涨势,但是一买它又掉下来了,
    好!那就是亏呗,亏该亏的钱无话可说。
    没有任何方法是百分之百准确的,
    只要有50%的正确率,
    加上筛选过的机会、再配合风险管理手段,
    一样可以获胜的!

  2. #2
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    Default

    技术分析是为交易服务的

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    Default

    说的确实很简单,但是操作中错误率也一定不低。

  4. #4
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    Default

    低得越离谱表示跌势越弱

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    Default

    把复杂问题简单化了吧!

  6. #6
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    Default

    盘整的幅度越宽越难以突破

  7. #7
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    成功的期货投机,其原理建立在这样的假设上:人们在未来会重犯他们在过去犯过的错误。

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    你感到绝对的所向无敌。如同英雄一般。别妄动,小心!

  9. #9
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    简单的就是实用的

  10. #10
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    量力而为
    应依帐户金额衡量交易量,勿过度交易。一般来说,每次交易风险不要超过账户资金的10%依据这个规则,可有效地控制风险,一次交易过多的口数是不明智的做法,很容易产生失控性的亏损。

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    每次能够看准趋势你就是超级大富翁了,给你1$不出半年资产起码过百万。答案是不可能。你十次能看准三次设立好止损位就有得赚了。

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    强调的是顺势而为的概念

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    百分之50的正确率,还不如什么都别看,直接乱买

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    这样不好判断!!!!,因为价格是动态的

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    Default

    是的,不大好判断

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