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Thread: 决策分析:欧系货币全线走软,日元持续演绎强势

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    Default 决策分析:欧系货币全线走软,日元持续演绎强势

    月21日22:30至1月22日06:00

      汇市概述:纽约时段,欧系货币兑美元全线下挫,因担忧美国经济增长放缓可能拖累欧元区经济增长,欧元兑美元跌至4周新低1.4422;受英国央行降息预期增强影响,英镑兑美元则跌至10个月新低1.9431。受欧亚股市全线暴跌打压,交叉汇率大幅走软,也拖累了欧系货币直盘走势。同时,因避险情绪增强,高息货币澳元和纽元兑美元大幅下挫,而日元自套息交易平仓中获益,呈现普涨格局。美元兑瑞郎和美元兑加元表现抢眼,纷纷走出逆市上扬的走势。欧亚股市周一全线暴跌,亚太市场主要股指跌幅均逾3%,欧洲股市主要股指跌幅则均超过4%。本时段,美元指数由76.71上扬至77.02。

      焦点、风向标:北京时间周二17:30 英国央行1月9日-10日货币委员会会议记录

      

      主要货币走势分析:

      欧元:欧元/美元纽约时段开于1.4506附近,随后汇价持续下挫,一度跌至1.4422的时段新低。午盘,汇价在时段低点上方企稳,随后汇价基本延续了低位窄幅整理走势,尾盘汇价继续围绕1.4440窄幅盘整,并直至收盘。小时图显示,欧元/美元在1.4440附近企稳,但延自1.4921有下降趋势线将对汇价反弹构成较强压力,若有效上破该阻力,后市汇价可能朝向1.4600反弹。日线图则显示,汇价跌破了30日均线,趋于下探100日均线支撑,同时1.4965和1.4921一线构筑双顶的迹象愈发明显,下破1.4300的颈线位支持,汇价的中期跌势将完全打开,后市可能跌向1.3700。后市欧元/美元上方阻力见于1.4605和1.4660,下方支撑则位于1.4402和1.4390。

      日元:美元/日元纽约时段开于105.83附近,随后汇价基本呈震荡上扬走势。午盘,汇价温和反弹至106.00上方,尾盘汇价则围绕该水平持续窄幅盘整,并最终收报于106.10附近。小时图显示,美元/日元在105.67和105.72构成的支撑线上方企稳,若守稳于该支撑上方,后市汇价可能朝向 107.00反弹。若下破该支撑,汇价则有可能跌向105.00。日线图显示,汇价跌破了前期低点105.91所在支撑,打开了短线进一步下行的空间。但鉴于短线技术指标严重超卖,汇价存在反弹要求。后市美元/日元上方阻力见于106.50和106.95,下方支撑则位于105.00和104.15。

      英镑:英镑/美元纽约时段开于1.9496附近,随后汇价基本呈单边下跌走势。午盘,汇价持续跌至1.9431的10个月新低,随后汇价略微企稳,尾盘汇价则围绕该低点持续整理跌幅,并直至收盘。小时图显示,英镑/美元跌破1.9526和1.9532构成的支撑线后,短线下行空间已经打开,下破1月 11日低点1.9485,则触发了其下方止损,令跌势加剧。日线图显示,汇价由1.9485-1.9790的反弹走势已经结束,短线可能会展开新一轮跌势。后市英镑/美元上方阻力见于1.9585和1.9620,下方支撑则位于1.9430和1.9260。

      费版本,其中有具体的操作策略,包括欧元、英镑、澳元、日元和瑞郎的短线、中短线

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    欧洲股市主要股指跌幅

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