today we have
USD Treasury Secretary Paulson Speaks at 12.30 GMT
USD Chicago Fed President Moskow Speaks at 14.00 GMT
USD Alan Greenspan Speaks at 16.30 GMT
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today we have
USD Treasury Secretary Paulson Speaks at 12.30 GMT
USD Chicago Fed President Moskow Speaks at 14.00 GMT
USD Alan Greenspan Speaks at 16.30 GMT
today we have
8:30am USD Retail Sales m/m 0.6% -0.2%
8:30am USD Core Retail Sales m/m 0.7% 0.0%
8:30am USD Import Price Index m/m 0.3% 1.3%
8:45am USD New York Fed President Geithner Speaks
10:00am USD Treasury Currency Report
10:00am USD Business Inventories m/m 0.2% -0.1%
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories 0.1M
what about eur/ usd now
today we have
8:30am USD PPI m/m 0.6% 0.7%
8:30am USD Core PPI m/m 0.2% 0.0%
8:30am USD Unemployment Claims 315K 309K
All Day USD Fed Hearing on Mortgage Regulations
what will happend this week
is there agood news for usd
EUR/USD's rally from 1.3262 finally resumes in early US session today by breaking through 1.3481 resistance, reaching as high as 1.3518 so far. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 1.3481 resistance turned support holds. Next upside target will be 1.3553 resistance. Break will confirm underlying short term bullishness and bring retest of 1.3681 high. On the downside, touching of 1.3481 will turn intraday outlook consolidative first but Break of 1.3414 is needed to indicate rally from 1.3262 has finished. Otherwise, another rise is still expected after finishing consolidation.sm_smile
EUR-USD
1.3529. Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.3545 or 1.3610 if support around 1.3500 hold. After which a pullback to 1.3500 - 1.3480 zone is possible.
The strength of the US economy will remain an important currency-market influence over the week. The most important US data releases are concentrated at the beginning and end of the week and a more subdued period in the middle of the week will be enhanced by the fact that the US Independence Day holiday is on Wednesday.
The Chicago PMI report was strong on Friday and this will boost optimism over the national ISM report on Monday. The ISM report is a reliable indicator of US industrial strength and the reading will be important in determining the degree of confidence in the manufacturing sector, especially as recent data has been generally mixed.
The monthly US employment report will inevitably be important on Friday and the Thursday ADP report will also be an important leading indicator for the monthly payroll data.
Global asset allocations at the start of the third quarter will need to be watched very closely as they will have an important impact on near-term currency trends.
The degree of stresses in credit markets and emerging markets will need to be watched very closely as these stresses will be very important for the strategies such as carry trades. Credit conditions deteriorated further at the end of last week with the index for sub-prime mortgage bonds dipping to a new low. A further deterioration, coupled with higher volatility, would risk renewed turbulence in global stock markets and this would also have important currency implications.
Investors are still determined in invest in high-yield currencies, but there will be additional pressure to switch back into more defensive currencies and cut back on high-risk trades if credit conditions continue to tighten. An easing of credit fears would maintain strong investor interest in carry trades.
Comments from global finance officials will need to be watched very closely, especially in Japan, to assess whether there will be greater efforts to curb low-yield currency selling. The Tankan index will also be watched closely by the Bank of Japan.
The actions of central banks will also need to be watched very closely as the New Zealand central bank considers whether to intervene again.
up trend!
I think:
buy 1.3530-40
sell 1.3560-70
thats wright
up trend
up trend lasts (+ flat)!
I think:
buy 1.3760-80
sell 1.3810-30
This topic is being updated for further discussions...
This topic is being updated for further discussions...